Every team’s in action today, so we’re building out the best picks to hit a home run.
Our PRO Projections leverage odds, player metrics, weather data, and more to ensure bettors are making the most informed picks possible. Today, our analytical approach centers around three selections across different matchups, with our home run picks spotlighting Rangers vs. Cubs, Dodgers vs. Nationals, and Blue Jays vs. Red Sox games.
Let’s dive into picks of +470, +600 and +625 from our home run betting models for the 4/9 MLB card.
MLB Home Run Odds: Advanced Model Picks for 4/9
For those unfamiliar, PRO Projections fuses sophisticated models with expert insights to identify betting edges, focusing on a recommendation threshold of a 3.5% edge for optimal returns. All three today are positioned well above.
First on the list is the clash between the Rangers and the Cubs, where Jake Burger emerges as a prime candidate with a projection of 0.31 home runs. With current odds set at +470, this translates to an impressive edge of +9.3%.
PRO Home Run Pick: Jake Burger
Next, we turn our attention to Mookie Betts from the Dodgers taking on the Nationals. With a slight breeze out to center enhancing conditions for long balls, Betts is projected for 0.22 home runs. Betting odds of +600 at BetMGM provide a solid +5.5% edge, making him a worthwhile consideration for your home run predictions.
PRO Home Run Pick: Mookie Betts
[quickslipbasic bookname=”BetMGM” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/04/April9bettsqs.jpg” buttontext=”Place This Bet Instantly!” buttonlink=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v2/deeplink?deeplinkId[0]=ML1458148396&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]
Lastly, consider Anthony Santander of the Blue Jays as they face off against the Red Sox. Despite not yet bashing a home run this season with his new team, Santander regularly bats at the top of the order with optimal wind conditions today at Fenway. With odds at +625 (BetMGM) and a projection of 0.20 home runs, this presents a +4.4% edge to round out today’s home run picks.