As always, it’s a busy Sunday in baseball. Today, we actually have a 16-game slate with the Rockies and Nationals playing a doubleheader.
Our experts are all over the Sunday Easter 4/20 slate with three MLB best bets, with props, picks and predictions on Marlins vs Phillies, Yankees vs Rays and Padres vs Astros on Sunday Night Baseball.
[quickslipbasic bookname=”BetMGM” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/04/Screenshot-2025-04-20-at-8.13.58%E2%80%AFAM.png” buttontext=”Sunday Strikeout Parlay on BetMGM” buttonlink=”https://sharpside.com/books/betmgm/passthrough?deeplinkId[0]=ML1493997312&deeplinkId[1]=ML1494104522&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]
MLB Best Bets, Picks, Props Today — 4/20
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| [teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”San Diego Padres” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] | 7:10 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Miami Marlins” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png” secondfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png”][/teammatchup] | 1:35 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”New York Yankees” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png” secondfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png”][/teammatchup] | 1:40 p.m. | |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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[relatedarticle articleimageurl=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/04/tatisaltuve.jpg” linktext=”Padres vs Astros Prediction, Pick, Odds for Sunday Night Baseball on April 20″ link=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/san-diego-padres-vs-houston-astros-prediction-pick-odds-sunday-night-baseball-april-20-qs”][/relatedarticle]
[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Marlins vs Phillies Strikeouts Prop: Back Jesus”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-128)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png” awayname=”Miami Marlins” awayslug=”miami-marlins” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” homename=”Philadelphia Phillies” homeslug=”philadelphia-phillies” date=”Saturday, April 19″ time=”1:35 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]
By Justin Van Zuiden
Jesus Luzardo has looked healthy through his first four starts as a member of the Phillies, and he has posted strong numbers with a 2.31 ERA and 3.00 xFIP.
That also comes with a massive 31.9% strikeout rate as he’s thriving in the early going with his new team.
Luzardo gets a revenge matchup against the feeble Marlins today.
I see no reason why he doesn’t keep the strikeouts rolling.
Pick: Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-128)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Miami Marlins” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png” secondfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Yankees” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png” secondfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”San Diego Padres” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop: Fade Pepiot”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Ryan Pepiot Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-140)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png” awayname=”New York Yankees” awayslug=”new-york-yankees” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png” homename=”Tampa Bay Rays” homeslug=”tampa-bay-rays” date=”Saturday, April 19″ time=”1:40 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”bet365″ bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gameheader]
By Prop Model
The strikeouts prop for Rays starter Ryan Pepiot looks like a strong wager today, based on the current data.
His line of 6.5 strikeouts compares favorably based on our MLB simulations.
The prop projects to hit 69.07% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 11.62% edge.
Pick: Ryan Pepiot Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-140)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Miami Marlins” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png” secondfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Yankees” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png” secondfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”San Diego Padres” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Sunday Night Baseball Prop Bet: Fade Framber?”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Framber Valdez Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-144)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” awayname=”San Diego Padres” awayslug=”san-diego-padres” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png” homename=”Houston Astros” homeslug=”houston-astros” date=”Saturday, April 19″ time=”7:10 p.m. ET” network=”ESPN” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]
By Prop Model
One more strikeouts prop that looks like a strong wager today is on Astros starter Framber Valdez, who is taking on the Padres on Sunday Night Baseball.
The line of 5.5 compares favorably based on our MLB simulations.
The prop projects to hit 69.61% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 10.59% edge.
Pick: Framber Valdez Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-144)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Miami Marlins” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-miami-marlins.png” secondfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Yankees” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png” secondfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”San Diego Padres” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” secondfullname=”Houston Astros” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png”][/teammatchup] |