The Detroit Tigers host the Minnesota Twins on August 6, 2025. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSDET.
After splitting the first two games, this series finale will feature a pitching duel between the Twins’ Joe Ryan and the Tigers’ Jack Flaherty.
Read our Twins vs Tigers prediction and MLB pick below.
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- Twins vs Tigers Pick: Under 7.5 (-110)
My Twins vs Tigers best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
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Twins vs Tigers Odds, Run Line and Total
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Twins vs Tigers Probable Pitchers
| RHP Joe Ryan (MIN) | Stat | RHP Jack Flaherty (DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | W-L | 6-10 |
| 3.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.4 |
| 2.83 / 3.15 | ERA / xERA | 4.36 / 3.93 |
| 3.15 / 3.56 | FIP / xFIP | 4.05 / 3.59 |
| 0.93 | WHIP | 1.25 |
| 23.3 | K-BB% | 20.0 |
| 36.9 | GB% | 35.2 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 105 | Location+ | 101 |
[howtowatch gameid=”258713″ date=”20250806″][/howtowatch]
Twins vs Tigers Betting Insights
On top of his great overall season, Joe Ryan has been posting even better numbers recently. Across his past seven outings, the Twins starter has a 2.36 ERA with 45 strikeouts and only five walks in 42 innings.
He will be pitching at Comerica Park, ranked 20th among MLB ballparks in run production, per Baseball Savant’s Park Factors. That also favors his splits: Ryan has a 2.55 away ERA compared to his 3.13 at home.
The right-hander has given up more than two runs in just one of his past seven starts.
Opposing him will be Jack Flaherty, who is also doing much better recently with a 3.38 ERA over his last seven outings for the Tigers.
His home/away splits point to a good start today as well, since he holds a 3.38 ERA at Comerica compared to his 5.69 ERA on the road.
Flaherty also does great in day games with a 2.76 ERA and should not fear a Twins offense ranked 19th in wRC+ this season, with a 98 rating.
This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for the under in this game.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1479171″ systemname=”Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Silent Sharp Unders” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20temperature%20is%20between%2034%20and%2087%20degrees%22%2C%22the%20visiting%20team’s%205%20Game%20recent%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2040%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%205%20Game%20recent%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2040%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20closing%20total%20is%20between%207.5%20and%2010%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%20game%20number%20is%20between%206%20and%20162%22%2C%22the%20visitor%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2046%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2046%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20o%2Fu%20change%20from%20open%20to%20close%20is%20between%20-1%20and%200%22%2C%22the%20over%2Funder%20%25%20is%20between%201%25%20and%2029%25%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$21,026″ record=”1273-1010-92″ winpct=”56%”][/betlabsembed]
The Silent Sharp Unders system targets regular-season MLB games where both teams are performing well, yet the total has quietly dropped from open to close.
These are games featuring competent, winning teams with recent success, stable weather conditions, and closing totals in a common scoring range.
Despite both teams showing strength, the market subtly favors the Under, likely due to matchup specifics, pitching, or pace factors.
By following this soft signal — when the public eye is more focused on win streaks and not totals — this system finds value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-110, Fanatics)
Twins vs Tigers Betting Trends
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[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Twins vs Tigers Weather” center=”false”][/subheader]
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