wednesday-mlb-odds-picks-predictions-smart-money-headed-for-day-game-for-pirates-vs-brewers

How, Why Moneyline Picks for Rangers vs. Mets, Brewers vs. Pirates Have Returned 11% on Investment Since 2005

Two Friday night MLB games fit a historically profitable, proprietary Action Network betting system that reports a return on investment (ROI) of 11%.

If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit this particular betting algorithm, you’d be up over $15,000 since 2005 — that’s about $900 per year.

The system fades the public on a contrarian pick involving the moneyline and applies to roughly 85 MLB games per season.

The two games the algorithm fits on Friday night are the Texas Rangers vs. New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates.

Rangers vs. Mets, Brewers vs. Pirates Betting System Pick


This betting system fades the public when they’re betting heavily on good home teams.

To indicate this, the team to fade needs to have at least a 60% win percentage and also have at least 65% of the individual moneyline tickets. This means retail bettors are betting the vast majority of their tickets on the good home team.

The team you’d bet on has to have a one- to three-game losing streak because the market — and a given retail bettor — tends to undervalue teams on a downward trajectory.

Your team also needs to be the visitor.

All of these parameters fit the Rangers and Pirates’ moneyline tonight.

The best line on the market for the Rangers is at WynnBet, which is pricing this contest at +170. Meanwhile, the Pirates’ best line is with SuperBook at +180.

As aforementioned, this type of bet has earned 11 cents for every dollar wagered over a very lengthy sample size.

But while today might be the day to cash in, keep in mind that this system applies to about 85 MLB games per year.

It also only wins 41% of the time — it has a positive ROI because the system only targets underdogs. Ensure that you’re betting every game that fits this system for the rest of the season in order to maximize that 11% return on investment.

PRO System Pick: Rangers +170 or better (Wynn) | Pirates +180 or better (SuperBook)

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