The Boston Red Sox (60-51) host the Houston Astros (62-48) on August 3, 2025. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NESN.
Oddsmakers have posted a total of 9.5 runs, with the Astros as slight road favorites (-105) and the Red Sox listed at -115.
Find my Astros vs Red Sox prediction and MLB pick below.
[quickslipbasic bookname=”BetMGM” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/08/astrosredsox822025.jpg” buttontext=”Tail This Pick in BetMGM” buttonlink=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v2/deeplink?deeplinkId[0]=ML1722811208&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”My Astros vs Red Sox Prediction” center=”true” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/houston-astros” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/bos.png” link2=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/boston-red-sox” link2follow=”true”][/subheader]
- Astros vs Red Sox pick: Under 9.5 (-120)
My Astros vs Red Sox best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
_InlineAdBlock
Astros vs Red Sox Odds
[gamematchup league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png” awayname=”Astros” awayslug=”houston-astros” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/bos.png” homename=”Red Sox” homeslug=”boston-red-sox” date=”Saturday, Aug 2″ time=”4:10 p.m. ET” network=”NESN” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”-1.5″ col1awayline=”+150″ col1hometext=”+1.5″ col1homeline=”-185″ col2awaytext=”9.5″ col2hometext=”9.5″ col2awayline=”100o / -120u” col2homeline=”100o / -120u” col3awaytext=”-105″ col3hometext=”-115″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”BetMGM” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/40268_MGM48x48light@3x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gamematchup]
Astros vs Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Colton Gordon (HOU) | Stat | RHP Walker Buehler (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | W-L | 6-6 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.5 |
| 4.74 / 4.16 | ERA / xERA | 5.72 / 5.25 |
| 4.65 / 3.98 | FIP / xFIP | 5.77 / 4.74 |
| 1.42 | WHIP | 1.54 |
| 15.6% | K-BB% | 7.4% |
| 31.9% | GB% | 44.8% |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 108 | Location+ | 93 |
Astros vs Red Sox Prediction, Betting Analysis
After a 2-1 pitchers’ duel in Game 1, Saturday’s Astros vs. Red Sox matchup sets up well for another low-scoring affair.
This game fits the profile of Evan Abrams’ “Series Unders: Off Low-Scoring Games” system, which targets MLB matchups where both teams are coming off quiet offensive performances earlier in a series.
The idea: early-series offensive slumps tend to linger, and the betting market can overestimate a scoring rebound.
Walker Buehler takes the mound for Boston, looking to build on a steady return to form. He’ll face Colton Gordon, a rookie left-hander making his first career start against the Red Sox.
While Romy Gonzalez has mashed lefties this season (1.029 OPS, 5 HRs), Boston’s offense as a whole has struggled to back him up consistently.
With both teams trending under and the system highlighting this as a prime spot for continued offensive stagnation, we’re backing Under 9.5 runs in Game 2.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1479164″ systemname=”Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Series Unders: Off Low-Scoring Games” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%2C%22the%20series%20game%20%23%20is%20between%202%20and%2010%22%2C%22the%20Home%20teams’%201%20Game%20points%20scored%20streak%20is%20between%200%20and%202%22%2C%22the%20Visiting%20teams’%201%20Game%20points%20scored%20streak%20is%20between%200%20and%202%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$18.680″ record=”1391-1115-121″ winpct=”56%”][/betlabsembed]
Pick: Under 9.5 (-120)
Astros vs Red Sox Betting Trends
[bettingtrends title=”” gameid=”258409″ date=”20250802″][/bettingtrends]
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Astros vs Red Sox Weather” center=”false”][/subheader]
[gameforecast league=”mlb” gameid=”258409″ date=”20250802″][/gameforecast]