PRO Projections made it look easy last night. Our top home run pick, Braves slugger Matt Olson, blasted two homers in a commanding performance.
Riding the wave, we dive even deeper in our bag to find the best home run picks tonight, which features 16 MLB games! Today, we’re targeting two hitter-friendly ballparks in an effort to uncover the most undervalued predictions.
Several standout hitters were highlighted across two enticing matchups: Brewers vs. Reds and Braves vs. Phillies.
Utilizing our expert projections, which compare proprietary data against betting odds, we’ve identified the top players likeliest to go yard today. This blend of data-driven insights and acumen positions our picks as some of the best home run hitters based on their matchups, park factors, and other critical statistics.
Let’s keep the good times rolling for MLB Friday.
Home Run Predictions for Friday Feature Three Undervalued MLB Picks
Tonight’s stadiums for our home run picks are Great American Ball Park and Citizens Bank Park.
Great American Ball Park is widely recognized as the most conducive to home runs, often branded as the most hitter-friendly venue maybe outside Coors.
Citizens Bank Park also ranks highly, as the fifth-best ballpark for homers this season. These favorable conditions set the stage for our picks, allowing us to pinpoint the top sluggers with a realistic shot of clearing the fences.
Home Run Pick for Brewers vs. Reds Game 2: Bet TJ Friedl
Our first pick is TJ Friedl from the Cincinnati Reds in Game 2 of the Brewers vs. Reds doubleheader. He’s the top home run hitter overall according to PRO Projections.
The best odds available for the outfielder to hit a home run are +750 on FanDuel. However, our proprietary projections estimate that Friedl has a likelihood of about 0.23 homers tonight, opening up an 8.8% edge.
Plus, Great American Ball Park boosts lefty home runs by about 40%, making Friedl a solid option for the 6:4o p.m. ET first pitch.
PRO Projections Edge: TJ Friedl HR (+750)
Home Run Prediction No. 1 for Braves vs. Phillies: Bet Marcell Ozuna
For the Phillies-Braves clash, Ozuna shines as the leading candidate to hit a home run.
According to our projections, Ozuna is poised to hit approximately 0.29 homers this evening, which translates to a 7.8% edge when stacked up against his best odds of +475 on BetMGM.
This data-driven prediction underscores both Ozuna’s potent bat and the favorable conditions at Citizens Bank Park.
PRO Projections Edge: Marcell Ozuna HR (+475)
Home Run Prediction No. 2 for Braves vs. Phillies: Bet Michael Harris II
Our final pick is another Braves outfielder, Michael Harris II.
Harris II boasts the highest payout potential among our selections; his best odds to hit a home run tonight are +900 at BetMGM. PRO Projections forecast him for around 0.21 homers, a 7.3% edge. With these strong projections, Harris II rounds out our list of top home run picks for tonight’s action.
PRO Props Edge: Michael Harris II HR (+900)
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
_InlineAdBlock