PRO Projections highlighted a couple of home run picks bursting with value in the same game Friday: Athletics vs. Phillies.
The PRO Projections signal sheds light on a variety of MLB betting markets. Our tools spot the largest MLB betting edges in player prop categories, and when the market odds diverge significantly from these projections, it opens up a calculated chance for bettors to capitalize.
For example, tonight’s top two home run picks for Athletics vs. Phillies both feature payouts of +1000 or better.
Check out the advanced projections, edge percentages and where to get the best odds on both high-value home run hitters for July 12.
Home Run Picks Today | Value Bets in Athletics vs. Phillies (July 12)
Zack Gelof (+1060)
Gelof is a long shot to go yard tonight at +1060. But there’s value here.
PRO Projections have a projection of 0.18 home runs for the Athletics’ infielder. Comparing the prediction to the payout creates an 7.9% edge, a notable discrepancy that indicates value.
Gelof’s smacked 10 homers this season and the underlying metrics further bolster the confidence in this pick. He’s playing at Citizens Bank Park tonight, which ranks top-10 in the league in creating home runs — a huge step up from his home park in Oakland, which is the second worst!
It’s a 8.1% edge and a B- grade on Gelof to go deep.
Miguel Andujar (+1060)
Don’t sleep on Andujar, either: PRO Projections lend a matching projection of 0.18 and B- grade on the outfielder to hit a homer at identical +1060 odds. Additionally, he’s hitting higher in the order tonight than Gelof.
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.