Our proprietary PRO Projections have been sizzling lately in home run picks.
Last week, our models accurately predicted home run hitters three days straight.
Two nights ago, we nailed Gleyber Torres’s homer, and just last night, Pete Alonso came through for us.
As we shift our focus to today’s slate, we’ve zeroed in on some incredibly promising matchups based on our sophisticated betting data.
Today’s PRO Projections have earmarked three games with the top home run picks: Red Sox vs. Yankees, Cardinals vs. Blue Jays, and Dodgers vs. Braves.
For bettors looking to capitalize on these favorable conditions, payouts for our highlighted home run picks are +525, +550, and +875, respectively.
Home Run Picks, MLB Projections, Best Bets for 9/14
Yankee Stadium, Rogers Centre, and Truist Park all rank within the top 12 ballparks for home runs above average. This adds another layer of advantage to our picks, making today an optimal opportunity for those seeking to bet on home run hitters.
Home Run Pick for Red Sox vs. Yankees: Bet Trevor Story
Freshly returned from a stint on the injured list, Trevor Story is poised to make an impact in homer-friendly Yankee Stadium.
Our projections show Story with 0.21 home runs for today’s game, which translates into a 7.0% edge over the best available odds of +875 at BetMGM.
PRO Projections Edge: Trevor Story HR (+875)
Home Run Prediction for Cardinals vs. Blue Jays: Bet Vlad Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire during the second half of the season, showcasing his power at the plate.
We project Guerrero Jr. at 0.28 home runs for today’s matchup against the Cardinals, giving him a 6.7% edge when compared to the best odds of +550. With the game being held at the spacious Rogers Centre, Guerrero Jr.’s power surge could very well continue, making him a solid bet.
PRO Projections Edge: Vlad Guerrero Jr. HR (+550)
Home Run Pick for Braves vs. Dodgers: Bet Shohei Ohtani
Now, perhaps the standout pick of the day: Shohei Ohtani.
Widely regarded as the best hitter in the National League, Ohtani is projected for 0.28 home runs in his clash against the Braves. This presents a 6.1% edge when measured against the best odds of +525. Playing at Truist Park, which has been generous to home run hitters, Ohtani’s incredible skill set becomes even more valuable.
PRO Projections Edge: Shohei Ohtani HR (+525)
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
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