There’s a sharp pick popping in PRO’s dashboard for tonight’s Astros vs. Rays matchup and it lies in one of the most entertaining betting markets: home run picks.
The game features the Astros and the Rays in Game 2 of their series, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The starting pitchers are Zack Littell for the Rays and Ronel Blanco for the Astros.
With our MLB experts developing and refining PRO Projections, these tools are critical for discerning the best home run picks. By positioning our expert projections alongside market odds, our goal is to uncover valuable betting angles that may otherwise remain hidden, particularly in enjoyable markets such as home run bets.
Tonight’s Rays vs. Astros best bet may be flying under the radar, too.
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The Best Bet to Hit a Home Run Saturday in Rays vs. Astros: Expert MLB Preview
For those looking for an edge tonight, Yainer Diaz to hit over a home run presents a strong case.
Currently, the odds for Diaz to go deep are a market-best +630 (FanDuel), but our advanced PRO Projections highlight an edge worth capitalizing on. With a predicted 0.20 home runs for the Astros catcher, the discrepancy between the PRO Projections and consensus odds creates a 6.8% betting edge, with a huge boost compared to the worst price in the market (+525).
One positive aspect supporting this pick is Diaz’s often overlooked power in the Astros’ lineup. Frequently overshadowed by the bigger names, Diaz is undervalued at Minute Maid Park, which can certainly favor right-handed hitters.
Furthermore, the starting pitching matchup bolsters Diaz’s chances. Littell, the Rays’ starter, has had issues with the long ball (7 HRs allowed the last five road starts), and this vulnerability plays directly into the strengths of Diaz. PRO Projections’ advanced models consider these nuances, identifying significant value where the broader market might miss it.
PRO MLB Props Pick: Yainer Diaz HR (+630)
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.