Last night, PRO Projections nailed an accurate prediction on a +1400 home run hitter, delighting bettors with a significant payout.
As we turn our attention to today’s matchups, there’s an abundance of value to be found once again.
Across a full day of baseball, three hitters across different matchups particularly stand out. The home run odds for these picks offer enticing payouts at +475, +1050, and +1300, respectively.
Let’s dive straight into today’s top home run picks and break down why these players are perfect candidates for your betting slips.
Home Run Picks, MLB HR Predictions 9/21
For today’s best home run predictions, we’re focusing on games taking place at Tropicana Field (Tampa Bay), Fenway Park (Boston), and Minute Maid Park (Houston).
Utilizing our proprietary betting data from PRO Projections, where our team of MLB experts meticulously analyzes odds, player projections, and market trends, we’ve identified significant edges for today’s selections.
Home Run Prediction for Blue Jays vs. Rays: Bet Nathan Lukes
First up is Nathan Lukes from the Toronto Blue Jays.
Though he has yet to hit a home run this season, his increased playing time in September signals a potential breakout.
Based on PRO Projections, we anticipate Lukes has a 0.18 probability to hit a home run. Given the best available odds at +1060 on FanDuel, this yields an 8.7% edge – solid value for those looking to capitalize on high-payout opportunities.
PRO Props Edge: Nathan Lukes HR (+1050)
Home Run Pick for Twins vs. Red Sox: Bet Royce Lewis
Next, let’s turn our attention to Royce Lewis of the Minnesota Twins.
A former No. 1 overall pick and rising superstar, Lewis possesses the power and skill to make a significant impact.
PRO Projections place his likelihood to hit a home run at 0.30. BetMGM offers enticing odds of +475, resulting in a 7% edge.
His potent swing and ability to shine in clutch moments make him one of today’s top home run predictions.
PRO Props Edge: Royce Lewis HR (+475)
Home Run Prediction for Angels vs. Astros: Bet Brandon Drury
Lastly, let’s consider Brandon Drury of the Los Angeles Angels.
Drury is a player who can unexpectedly go deep, and today’s game offers an ideal scenario for him to shine.
PRO Projections suggest a 0.16 probability for Drury to hit a home run. With FanDuel’s odds set at +1300, this proposes a 6.8% edge. Such high odds paired with a favorable projection make Drury a valuable part of any well-rounded home run pick slate.
PRO Props Edge: Brandon Drury HR (+1300)
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.