In back-to-back impressive displays, PRO Projections accurately forecasted two home run picks on consecutive days. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. slugged one out on Monday, followed by Gunnar Henderson’s homer yesterday.
Momentum from proprietary projections has us eagerly looking forward to Thursday’s baseball action. Let’s get after it.
Our in-depth analysis today has identified three home run picks to target, spread across two games: The Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves. Both provide the ideal environment for the long ball based on favorable matchups and park factors.
PRO Projections consider several factors — including player matchups, ballpark characteristics and other advanced metrics — to pinpoint the optimal picks. Today, the three recommended home run hitters offer enticing payouts, with odds of +630, +800 and another +800.
Let’s transition into three best MLB bets Thursday from Red-Hot Expert MLB Predictions.
Home Run Picks, Best Bets Thursday
First up is Astros vs. Reds. The matinee takes place at Great American Ball Park, the number one park for home runs this year. This homer-friendly environment is tailor-made for our predictions, and we have one hitter with great odds to bash one out today.
Home Run Pick for Astros vs. Reds: Bet TJ Friedl
Great American Ball Park enhances the power output for left-handed hitters, making TJ Friedl an exciting pick.
Expert projections peg Friedl for 0.20 home runs today against the Astros. This represents a 5.4% edge when matched against the best odds of +800 available on FanDuel. The friendly confines of his home park should amplify his power potential, as it does with most lefties.
PRO Projections Edge: TJ Friedl HR (+800)
Next, we shift our focus to the Rockies vs. Braves showdown. Here, we have two promising picks to tap into for Thursday’s games:
Home Run Pick No. 1 for Rockies vs. Braves: Bet Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II has been settling in since coming back from injury and frequently finds himself in the leadoff spot. This consistent run of form makes him our top pick from today’s projections.
Harris II carries a projection of 0.23 home runs, with favorable odds of +630 on FanDuel, yielding a 6% edge. This is an excellent opportunity to leverage his home run odds tonight.
PRO Props Edge: Michael Harris II HR (+630)
Home Run Pick No. 2 for Rockies vs. Braves: Bet Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar of the Rockies is another exciting pick for today’s game against the Braves.
Our projections estimate Tovar for 0.20 home runs in this matchup. This gives us a 5.4% edge when juxtaposed with the best odds of +800 found on FanDuel. Tovar’s slugging potential is well-positioned to capitalize on today’s conditions.
PRO Props Edge: Ezequiel Tovar HR (+800)
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
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