Dodgers vs. Rockies Odds
| Dodgers Odds | -210 |
| Rockies Odds | +170 |
| Total | 12 (-105 / -115) |
| Date | Thursday, June 29 |
| Time | 8:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Thursday afternoon.
The Los Angeles Dodgers play the last game of a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies on Thursday.
The series is split after the Rockies took Wednesday’s game, 9-8.
Tonight, the Rockies will face Dodgers starter Emmet Sheehan. The heralded rookie will be making his first start at Coors Field, a place infamous for tormenting pitchers.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Sheehan player prop at BetMGM, and it’s expecting the right-hander to have his way against the Rockies.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of the game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
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Emmet Sheehan Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Sheehan has put together special performances in his first two games in the Major Leagues.
He debuted with a six-inning, no-hit showing against the San Francisco Giants. He followed that up with six innings of two-run ball against the Houston Astros, which resulted in his first big-league win.
The model indicates Sheehan’s strikeout total for Dodgers vs. Rockies is way too low. BetMGM has set his strikeout total tonight at 4.5, with -105 to the over and -120 to the under. That’s the best price on the over in the market.
Sheehan has tallied seven strikeouts over his first two starts. With Double-A Tulsa this season, he had 88 strikeouts in 53 1/3 innings. Though it hasn’t happened with the Dodgers yet, he’s flashed the ability to miss bats and the Rockies lineup is a great lineup to prove that against.
The model predicts Sheehan will have 5.7 strikeouts against the Rockies, which is good enough for over a 15% betting edge on the over.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: Emmet Sheehan Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-105)
