Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds
| Marlins Odds | +125 |
| Cardinals Odds | -150 |
| Total | 8 (-115 / -105) |
| Date | Tuesday, July 18 |
| Time | 7:45 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Tuesday afternoon.
The Miami Marlins play the second game of a three-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on Tuesday night.
The Cardinals won the first game, 6-4, on Monday night and are trying to get out of the NL Central, where they’re currently tied with the Pirates. The Marlins, meanwhile, are in second place in the NL East.
Jordan Montgomery will be on the bump for the Cardinals, while Edward Cabrera will start for the Fish.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Cabrera player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication is expecting Cabrera to have his way against the Cardinals.
It’s a bet on the over.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
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Edward Cabrera Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Cabrera is making his first start back from the 15-day IL. He hasn’t pitched since June 16.
Before the injury, Cabrera was having an OK season on the bump with a 5-5 record and a 4.7 ERA. The prognostication expects Cabrera to have little rust off the IL.
The model indicates the likelihood of Cabrera hitting the over on his strikeouts is higher than what sportsbooks believe. BetMGM has set the total for over 4.5 strikeouts at +115, while the under is -150. That’s the best price on the over in the market.
The model predicts Cabrera will have 6.1 strikeouts this evening, good enough for over a 26.7% betting edge on the over.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: Edward Cabrera Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+115)
