PRO Projections ran hot last week, flagging home run hitters of +1350 (Thursday), +800 (Friday), +750 (Sunday) and more. We’re ready to test our MLB expert projections for Dinger Tuesday from FanDuel, which centers around home run picks.
Dinger Tuesday predictions for August 13 feature two top home run picks that are loaded with value at FanDuel. These plays, sourced from our expert projections, are in Nationals vs. Orioles (6:35 p.m. ET) and Reds vs. Cardinals (6:40 p.m.).
To narrow down our Dinger Tuesday predictions, our expert projections analyze several factors, including player matchups, park factors and historical performance data. By aligning these variables with proprietary betting odds, we look to identify the best home run hitters flying under the radar.
Now, let’s get into today’s highlighted home run picks.
Home Run Picks and Top Dinger Tuesday Predictions Using PRO Projections
Home Run Picks: Bet Ryan Mountcastle
The first spotlight in our Dinger Tuesday predictions shines on Ryan Mountcastle of the Baltimore Orioles.
Despite slumping — Mountcastle has two home runs since June 9 — he offers enticing odds at +900 to park one tonight, a stance we’re eager to capitalize on. Our PRO Projections forecast Mountcastle for around 0.22 homers this evening.
Additionally, the right-handed slugger has shown a propensity to go deep at home, bashing eight of his 15 homers this season at Camden Yards.
This alignment of factors allows us to back Mountcastle confidently as part of our home run picks for today.
PRO Projections Edge: Ryan Mountcastle HR (+900)
Home Run Picks: Bet Willson Contreras
Next up in our review is Willson Contreras of the St. Louis Cardinals. Contreras’ odds to hit a home run tonight are currently set at +430 at FanDuel.
According to PRO Projections, Contreras is pegged to hit approximately 0.3 homers on average, presenting a 7.8% edge — an opportunity rated as a B- by our team of analysts.
The favorable projections come partly due to Contreras’ solid matchup at the hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park.
PRO Props Edge: Willson Contreras HR (+430)
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
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