Tuesday means another round of Dinger Tuesday, the popular MLB promotion from FanDuel.
PRO Projections not only dished out the best MLB home run picks for June 25, but our advanced models also listed a bunch of hitters with less-favorable matchups to avoid!
Today’s home run predictions — selections backed by analytical insights from our PRO Projections — feature a grand total of five players who our proprietary betting models either show value on to hit home runs, or others in which taking the under would actually produce a better edge.
PRO Projections in the MLB Home Run Market
PRO Projections are crafted through meticulous analysis that incorporates player performance trends, pitching matchups and historical data in order to identify value in the betting market. When a player is highlighted, it indicates a bet-worthy advantage compared to the consensus odds.
Dinger Tuesday Predictions for June 25: Best MLB Home Run Picks
For Dinger Tuesday, Jake Fraley of the Reds emerges as the top candidate to hit a home run.
Our PRO Projections signal this bet with a solid confidence level, marking Fraley to hit a home run (+800) with a 7% edge.
The projection system has identified a significant discrepancy between the market’s longer odds and our in-house projections for Fraley (0.2 HRs). This variance indicates an opportunity for savvy bettors to capitalize on a mispriced market, as Fraley’s odds to hit a home run are better than general expectations.
PRO Projections Pick: Jake Fraley to hit a HR (+800)
Another batter loaded with value in the same game is Rowdy Tellez of the Pirates.
Hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park yields a suitable situation for the left-handed Tellez, who we peg for 0.31 homers — a sharp bet stacked up to +420 odds at FanDuel.
PRO Projections Pick: Rowdy Tellez to hit a HR (+420)
PRO Projections show a bit of value on Julio Rodriguez of the Mariners for the second week in a row.
The Mariners’ slugger is admittedly down in the power category this year, but his price at FanDuel (+540) is the top number across the board, contrasted to +400 at other books.
It’s a good buy after factoring in our number (0.21) for Rodriguez to park a homer at Tropicana Field.
PRO Projections Pick: Julio Rodriguez to hit a HR (+540)
New signups: Utilize our Fanduel promo code to maximize your Dinger Tuesday picks!
Dinger Tuesday Predictions for June 25: Players to Avoid
PRO Projections are extremely bearish on Marcell Ozuna of the Braves today. In fact, he’s the top fade.
We peg Ozuna for just 0.17 home runs on average vs. the Cardinals tonight — a far cry from the +280 price at FanDuel to go long tonight.
Ozuna is an easy pass for tonight’s Braves vs. Cardinals.
Another hitter to avoid for the best bang for your buck tonight is Aaron Judge of the Yankees. The MLB leader in homers can leave the yard in a hurry, but we wouldn’t rush to add him into a Dinger Tuesday submission at odds of +210.
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.