Dinger Tuesday is back, which may be a welcomed sight for many sports bettors during one of the slowest points of the sports calendar.
In case you’re curious or new to Dinger Tuesday, it’s a weekly promotion run by FanDuel Sportsbook in which bettors can place a $25+ bet on a player to hit a home run.
If that player doesn’t go yard, bettors receive $5 back in bonus bets for each home run hit in that game up to a maximum of $25.
When it comes to today’s slate specifically, there’s one notable home run edges per Action PRO’s MLB player props model — which fits in nicely for Dinger Tuesday.
Dinger Tuesday Picks: Home Run Bets, MLB Projections
*Odds and edges as of Tuesday morning
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays) +500 to Hit Home Run
6:35 p.m. ET | MLB.TV
We’re back to a favorite of our home run projections: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Guerrero has 21 dingers on the season, which ranks 11th among all American League hitters.
The Blue Jays first baseman has also been on a torrid pace of late, hitting homers in each of his last three games with eight round-trippers in his last 13 games.
His recent performance might suggest an overreaction in the market, but that still doesn’t seem to be the case based on our projection.
Action PRO’s player props model projects Guerrero at 0.26 home runs today against the Orioles, which may seem low at first glance.
However, his +500 odds at FanDuel still provide plenty of value for those interested in backing Vlad tonight.
Another reason to like Guerrero?
The latest MLB weather forecast is calling for 7-11 mph winds blowing out to left-center at Camden Yards, which could certainly help turn long fly balls into Dinger Tuesday homers.
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