Dinger Tuesday home run picks for August 20 are all about utilizing advanced MLB data.
PRO Projections have been meticulously crafted by our team of MLB experts who specialize in identifying betting edges. By comparing odds, player projections and other pivotal metrics to the betting markets, our projections and MLB data deliver an informed way to bet.
As we gear up for a full slate in baseball today, several home run picks stand out.
Given the unpredictable nature of the weather in some games tonight, we’re strategically avoiding those matchups. Instead, we’re setting our sights on two specific games: Rockies vs. Nationals and Reds vs. Blue Jays.
Today’s strategy for Dinger Tuesday home run picks emphasizes stadiums that are conducive to home runs, as well as hitters we projected to go deep. Nationals Park and Rogers Centre are known for being hitter-friendly environments, which naturally makes them prime picks for today’s home run predictions.
Dinger Tuesday Home Run Picks Utilizing Advanced MLB Data
Rockies vs. Nationals Home Run Pick: Bet Luis Garcia
At Nationals Park, Luis Garcia of the Washington Nationals stands out as the premier home run hitter, with his best odds around the market pegged at +950.
According to our proprietary data, Garcia is projected to hit approximately 0.20 home runs today, which equates to a 6.1% edge. This makes him the top pick from our projections and a solid choice for Dinger Tuesday home run picks.
PRO Projections Edge: Luis Garcia HR
Reds vs. Blue Jays Home Run Pick: Bet Vlad Guerrero Jr.
Over at the Rogers Centre, the Toronto Blue Jays’ slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is another excellent candidate for today’s home run picks.
Guerrero has been particularly effective when hitting at home during the second half of the season. Our projections estimate that Guerrero will hit around 0.32 home runs in tonight’s game against the Cincinnati Reds.
When this projection is compared to his best odds of +400 on FanDuel, it equates to a 5.2% edge.
Notably, the Reds’ offense ranks 11th in the league for home runs, which bolster today’s Dinger Tuesday promotion.
PRO Projections Edge: Vlad Guerrero Jr. HR
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
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