Wednesday’s MLB card offers sharp bettors a unique opportunity to challenge the public consensus on four contrarian MLB picks for August 7.
One effective strategy among the myriad PRO Systems — our backtested betting trends supported by historical data — is the concept of fading the public through our “Contrarian” series of angles. Though controversial, it’s simply an added layer of handicapping utilizing our proprietary betting data.
This approach focuses on wagering against the most popular picks collected in our data, with compelling results found by analyzing tickets vs. money wagered. The second metric is particularly insightful, carrying more weight in these evaluations than tickets.
Basically, it’s sometimes wise to bet against what we’d consider a popular pick. This contrarian approach has demonstrated edges in various spots, and Wednesday’s slate of MLB picks provides several key matches.
The four games in focus are Diamondbacks vs. Guardians (Game 1), Brewers vs. Braves, Red Sox vs. Royals and Phillies vs. Dodgers.
Each of these tilts fits well within our contrarian strategy framework, making them strong candidates to consider on Wednesday.
Contrarian MLB Picks for August 7
According to the “Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams” PRO System, the best bet is often the under when two winning MLB teams clash, especially if at least 66% of betting tickets in our trackers favor the over.
Historically, this betting approach has boasted a successful hit rate of 54%, making it a reliable, consistent strategy.
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All four aforementioned games match the system today.
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Contrarian Pick
We’ve tracked a hefty 98% of the tickets on the over, marking a perfect “under” spot in the early game.
PRO System Pick: Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Under 8
Brewers vs. Braves Contrarian Pick
The Braves are the top under team in baseball. It’s all public money on the over, though, with 98% of the tickets landing on a high-scoring game between the two winning clubs
PRO System Pick: Brewers vs. Braves Under 8
Red Sox vs. Royals Contrarian Pick
The Royals are one of the biggest surprises, sitting 11 games over .500 entering tonight. The Royals host another winning team tonight (the Red Sox), and we’re seeing 97% of the tickets on the over at the time of writing.
PRO System Pick: Red Sox vs. Royals Under 8.5
Phillies vs. Dodgers Contrarian Pick
The final duel is a clash between two of the NL’s best when Philly’s Tyler Phillips and L.A.’s Gavin Stone get the nod.
PRO System Pick: Phillies vs. Dodgers Under 9
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