The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Chicago White Sox on Sunday, July 20, 2025. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT and MLB.TV.
The Pirates enter as -136 favorites on the moneyline, while the White Sox are +112 to pull off the upset. The over/under, meanwhile, comes in at 9 total runs.
Find my White Sox vs Pirates prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
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- White Sox vs. Pirates Pick: Under 9
My Pirates vs. White Sox best bet is for both teams to go under the total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
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White Sox vs Pirates Odds
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White Sox vs Pirates Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Aaron Civale (CHW) | Stat | LHP Andrew Heaney (PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | W-L | 4-8 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 5.30/ 4.87 | ERA /xERA | 4.59/ 4.94 |
| 5.56/ 5.58 | FIP / xFIP | 5.12/ 4.51 |
| 1.48 | WHIP | 1.26 |
| 6.0% | K-BB% | 9.7% |
| 30.4% | GB% | 37.9% |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 103 | Location+ | 102 |
White Sox vs Pirates Pick, Betting Analysis
After two crushing victories for the White Sox over the Pirates, they’re still underdogs for this third and final game of the series — but Luis Robert Jr. has been the main figure.
Robert, who has 98 career homers, looks to inch closer to 100 while extending his six-game hitting streak.
This system targets Sunday MLB games where the home team is coming off 1–2 consecutive overs, suggesting recent offensive outperformance or inflated totals.
The theory is that on Sundays — often the final game of a series with an early start — teams may rest key hitters, lineups can be inconsistent, and pitchers often perform better against lineups they’ve already seen.
With an opening total in the 8- to 9.5-run range, the line is high enough to offer under value when offensive regression is likely.
Taking unders with moderate totals (8-9.5) in Sunday games with home teams on an over streak. has been a profitable route.
Hitters may tend to be worn out by the end of the week, and collectively as a league, players tend to take their rest days on Sundays, so there’s an added advantage toward unders.
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Pick: Under 9
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White Sox vs Pirates Betting Trends
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