Nationals vs. Yankees Odds
[gamematchup league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-washington-nationals.png” awayname=”Nationals” awayslug=”washington-nationals” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png” homename=”Yankees” homeslug=”new-york-yankees” date=”Tuesday, Aug. 22″ time=”7:05 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” col1text=”Moneyline” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Run Line” col1awaytext=”+150″ col1hometext=”-185″ col2awaytext=”8.5″ col2hometext=”8.5″ col2awayline=”-105 / -115″ col2homeline=”-105 / -115″ col3awaytext=”+1.5″ col3hometext=”-1.5″ col3awayline=”-135″ col3homeline=”+110″ bookname=”BetMGM” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/902516_MGM2.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gamematchup]
The New York Yankees begin a three-game interleague series with the Washington Nationals on Tuesday evening at Yankee Stadium.
Both teams are at the bottom of their respective divisions this year.
Josiah Gray will be on the bump for the Nationals and Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on Rodon’s player prop at BetMGM. The model is expecting Rodon to have his way with the Nationals’ lineup and suggests a bet on the over.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
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Carlos Rodon Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Rodon has dealt with injuries throughout the 2023 season. He didn’t make his first start until July, but after making just six starts, he returned to the Injured List. He’s back from his latest stint on the IL, but hasn’t pitched since August 6 and has yet to pitch more than six innings this season.
BetMGM has set his strikeout total at 5.5 with -105 on the over. The under is at -125.
The model predicts Rodon will have 6.4 strikeouts tonight, good enough for over a 10% betting edge.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: Carlos Rodon Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-105)
