St. Louis Cardinals vs Detroit Tigers Odds
[gamematchup league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-st-louis-cardinals.png” awayname=”Cardinals” awayslug=”st.-louis-cardinals” homelogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” homename=”Tigers” homeslug=”detroit-tigers” date=”Wednesday, May 1″ time=”1:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB Network” col1text=”Moneyline” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Run Line” col1awaytext=”-110″ col1hometext=”-110″ col2awaytext=”8.5″ col2hometext=”8.5″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”+1.5″ col3hometext=”-1.5″ col3awayline=”-220″ col3homeline=”+180″ bookname=”bet365″ bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/860991_Bet365ALT.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gamematchup]
Cardinals vs Tigers odds for the series finale at Comerica Park have the Tigers installed as -115 favorites on the moneyline, with an over/under of 8.5
Miles Mikolas has been a bit of a letdown in the St. Louis Cardinals’ rotation and his counterpart on Wednesday is in a similar situation. Kenta Maeda has had a lackluster start to the season for the Detroit Tigers, but his peripherals are more encouraging than Mikolas’.
Both teams have been below-average against righties, but Maeda and the Tigers’ pitching staff could have an edge here.
Let’s dive into the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers odds and make a prediction and pick in out MLB betting preview for Wednesday, May 1.
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Mikolas has a 5.91 ERA against a 5.72 xERA. His Average Exit Velocity is about 89 mph, and he rarely misses bats. He doesn’t walk many hitters, but a Hard-Hit Rate in the 19th percentile won’t get the job done, especially with a strikeout rate as low as his.
The Cardinals own a wRC+ of 88 off of righties and also boast a 23.5% strikeout rate and a .652 OPS. However, Maeda is great at limiting hard contact and St. Louis ranks amongst the worst in baseball in Hard-Hit Rate. That should be an area of major concern for the Cardinals against Maeda.
The Cardinals’ relief staff has done well with a 3.29 xFIP, an above average strikeout rate and a walk rate that hovers around 8%. That said, Mikolas hasn’t gone past the fifth inning three times this season, which will put further strain on the relievers.
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Maeda also doesn’t walk or strike out many hitters. However, he has an Average Exit Velocity below 87 mph and a Hard-Hit Rate under 33%. His xERA is much lower than his ERA, so he should have more favorable results in his future.
The Tigers have a wRC+ of 89 with a higher walk rate and strikeout rate than the Cardinals. Detroit has six bats with a xwOBA over .320 off of righties, which should be enough against Mikolas.
Detroit has a few arms with an xFIP under 4.00, though Maeda should be able to pitch a bit deeper into the game. The back-end of Detroit’s bullpen has also been strong, which could be a boost late in the game.
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Detroit has the slightly better starter and although St. Louis usually has a tremendous edge in the bullpen, Detroit has enough to get by. Take the Tigers in this game and bet them to -125.
Pick: Tigers ML -112 (Play to -125)
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