Dinger Tuesday’s promotion is over, but we’ll stick with the theme of home run picks on Tuesday, August 27, because there’s some juicy value flagged by our models for tonight’s slate.
Leveraging expert betting data, our projections pinpointed two players with significant edges to hit a home run Tuesday — much less in advantageous venues.
Tonight’s games feature great stadiums for the long ball, as the best home run picks today are in the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox and Oakland Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds matchups.
The potential payouts on today’s home run picks are +525 and +680. The selection process involves a thorough analysis of matchups, park factors and more.
Best MLB Home Run Picks for Tuesday, August 27
Home Run Pick for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox: Bet Vlad Guerrero Jr.
PRO Projections identified Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the top home run hitter for tonight’s game.
Guerrero finds himself in an excellent position to go yard, especially at Fenway Park, which has been a hotspot for runs this year.
According to our projections, Guerrero has the best odds to hit a home run at +525 on BetMGM.
However, our sophisticated models project him to hit approximately 0.31 home runs, translating to a 7.7% edge. Guerrero has been particularly hot in the second half of the season, making this projection even more enticing.
PRO Props Edge: Vlad Guerrero Jr. HR (+525)
Home Run Prediction for Athletics vs. Reds: Bet TJ Friedl
Our projections also favor Reds outfielder TJ Friedl for tonight’s clash against the Oakland Athletics.
Great American Ball Park is notorious for home runs and boosts left-handed power, setting the stage for Friedl to shine. Friedl’s odds to hit a home run are +680 at FanDuel, but PRO Projections predict him to hit approximately 0.23 homers, which equates to a 6.9% edge.
PRO Props Edge: TJ Friedl HR (+775)
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
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