The Baltimore Orioles host the Athletics on August 8, 2025. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MASN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Athletics vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
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Athletics vs Orioles pick: Under 10
My Athletics vs Orioles best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
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Athletics vs Orioles Odds, Spread
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Athletics vs Orioles Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP J.T. Ginn (ATH) | Stat | RHP Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | W-L | 8-5 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 4.28 / 3.56 | ERA / xERA | 4.42 / 5.85 |
| 4.89 / 3.51 | FIP / xFIP | 5.07 / 4.64 |
| 1.26 | WHIP | 1.32 |
| 16.7 | K-BB% | 9.6 |
| 53.7 | GB% | 40.5 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 108 | Location+ | 104 |
Athletics vs Orioles Betting Preview
The Orioles started cold this month. They have scored more than three runs in a game just once and have produced a total of 11 runs in six games so far.
No wonder Baltimore ranks next to last in wRC+ in August with a 51 rating. They are also dead last in slugging (.297) and average (.193) this month.
Tonight, they will face A’s starter J.T. Ginn, who has a 3.00 ERA across his last seven outings and holds an excellent 2.82 away ERA compared to his 5.54 ERA at home.
In his last two starts on the road, Ginn has only given up one run in 11 complete innings.
If Tomoyuki Sugano can slow down the Athletics offense, there is good value in going with the under with the total line at 10, especially considering weather conditions.
Our Bet Labs system points to these environmental factors to recommend the under tonight.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1479159″ systemname=”Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Public Fades Humidity = Unders” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20average%20humidity%20is%20between%2045%25%20and%2095%25%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%205%20Game%20over%20percentage%20is%20between%200%25%20and%2040%25%22%2C%22the%20temperature%20is%20between%2054%20and%2097%20degrees%22%2C%22the%20wind%20direction%20is%20From%20Right%20or%20Left%20To%20Right%20or%20From%20Left%20or%20Right%20To%20Left%20or%20In%20or%20None%22%2C%22the%20o%2Fu%20change%20from%20open%20to%20close%20is%20between%20-1%20and%200%22%2C%22the%20over%2Funder%20%25%20is%20between%206%25%20and%2029%25%22%2C%22the%20game%20was%20played%20during%20the%202025%20or%202024%20or%202023%20or%202022%20or%202021%20or%202020%20season%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$8,161″ record=”295-193-19″ winpct=”60%”][/betlabsembed]
This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting. It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity —ranging from 45 to 95— intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.
Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.
In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.
The market has subtly corrected as well, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest, between 6 and 29.
These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.
Pick: Under 10 (-113, DraftKings)
Athletics vs Orioles Betting Trends
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