World Series Odds Game 4: The Big Astros vs. Phillies Edge for Wednesday (November 2)

Astros vs. Phillies Odds

*Odds as of Wednesday afternoon

I don’t believe many saw this coming.

The Philadelphia Phillies hold a 2-1 lead over the Houston Astros in the 2022 World Series and are favored to win again in Wednesday’s Game 4.

To be fair, the Phillies are very short favorites — -115 to be exact — over the Astros, but that doesn’t take away from the fact that Philadelphia has a realistic chance to take a 3-1 series lead on Wednesday night.

And considering that World Series Game 5 is also in Philadelphia on Thursday, there’s certainly a path for the Phillies to be a great spot to close out this series, but it all starts with tonight’s massive Game 4.

The moneyline suggests Game 4 is essentially a pick’em, but the Astros vs. Phillies over/under is pinging the Action Network’s MLB PRO picks.

Below we break down the surprisingly large betting model edge for Astros vs. Phillies Game 4 on Wednesday night.

Astros vs. Phillies Pick

The total for tonight’s matchup sits at 7.5 as of this writing, but our MLB betting model suggests that number is just too high.

We project this line at 6.54, nearly a full run lower than the over/under.

The difference between these two results in a 3.4% edge for Astros vs. Phillies under bettors.

Please note that although the market is essentially settled at 7.5, the vig does vary from sportsbook to sportsbook, so be sure to visit the Action Network’s MLB Live Odds Page to lock in the best price possible.

PRO Projections Pick: Under 7.5 (-120)

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