The Las Vegas Aces (10-11) and Dallas Wings (6-16) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at College Park Center in Arlington, Texas. The game will be broadcast live on Vegas 34.
The Aces are favored by -6 on the spread, with the over/under set at 170.5 (-110o / -110u). The Aces are a -238 favorite to win outright, while the Wings are +195 to pull off the upset.
Let’s get into my Aces vs. Wings prediction and WNBA picks.
Aces vs. Wings Odds, Pick
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- Aces vs. Wings Spread: Aces -6 (-110), Wings +6 (-110)
- Aces vs. Wings Over/Under: 170.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Aces vs. Wings Moneyline: Aces -238, Wings +195
- Aces vs. Wings Best Bet: An Over/Under Pick
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The Aces are looking to win their second consecutive game and climb back to .500 in their final game before the All-Star break. Meanwhile, the Wings are looking to snap a three-game skid.
These teams met in Vegas in mid-June and the Aces escaped with a four-point victory, but A’ja Wilson missed that contest. Dallas will have to contend with Wilson tonight, and she’s playing well. The Aces’ star is coming off a 34-point, 16-rebound performance in Las Vegas’ win over Golden State and is averaging 21.5 points and 9.1 rebounds per game.
As for Dallas, all eyes are on Paige Bueckers. The rookie is averaging 18.3 points per game and has gone over 20 points in three of her past five games.
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Aces vs. Wings Prediction” subtext=”” center=”false” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/252389_action-logo-check.png”][/subheader]
Our “WNBA Under After Over Streak” system has cashed 55% of its lifetime picks (173-142-1) and has generated a 7% ROI.
So, what does it suggest as the best bet for Aces vs. Wings?
Well, this system is fairly straightforward and tells us to bet the under in games between teams that both cashed the over in their most recent game. In these situations, the market — based on recent trends — tends to overadjust totals upward, which can create value in betting against the inflated number.
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Best Bet: Under 170.5
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