Making your fantasy football start/sit decisions before Sunday’s games kickoff?
I’ve outlined the final edition of my Week 10 tiers based on my rankings for every position below. Note that these tiers are as of Saturday evening, so be sure to consult my real-time rankings here before locking in your lineups.
Fantasy Football Tiers
Fantasy QB Rankings & Tiers
Tier 1
Lamar Jackson (@ MIA)
Josh Allen (@ NYJ)
Tier 2
Dak Prescott (vs. ATL)
Patrick Mahomes (@ LV)
Justin Herbert (vs. MIN)
Tom Brady (@ WAS)
Look for Dak Prescott to bounce back after a brutal performance against the Broncos last week — he played much worse than his 232/2/1 stat line would indicate, because much of his production came in garbage time.
Getting Michael Gallup back this week will help Prescott’s upside.
We shouldn’t expect much from Prescott as a runner this season, but he is due for positive touchdown regression. He has yet to rush for a touchdown despite the fact that he should have 2.3 expected rushing touchdowns this season according to my calculations, which means he’s getting high value rush attempts (four inside the 5-yard line) but not converting on them — yet.
That +2.3 gap is the second-highest on the season.
Tier 3
Kyler Murray (vs. CAR)
Jalen Hurts (@ DEN)
Tier 4
Matthew Stafford (@ SF)
Aaron Rodgers (vs. SEA)
Derek Carr (vs. KC)
Russell Wilson (@ GB)
Tier 5
Matt Ryan (@ DAL)
Carson Wentz (vs. JAX)
Kirk Cousins (@ LAC)
Taylor Heinicke (vs. TB)
Ryan Tannehill (vs. NO)
Teddy Bridgewater (vs. PHI)
Tier 6
Mac Jones (vs. CLE)
Jimmy Garoppolo (vs. LAR)
Jacoby Brissett (vs. BAL)
Mason Rudolph (vs. DET)
Trevor Lawrence (@ IND)
Tier 7
Baker Mayfield (@ NE)
Jared Goff (@ PIT)
Mike White (vs. BUF)
Tier 8
P.J. Walker (@ ARI)
Trevor Siemian (@ TEN)
Tier 9
Taysom Hill (@ TEN)
Trey Lance (vs. LAR)
Fantasy RB Rankings & Tiers
Tier 1
Jonathan Taylor (vs. JAX)
Austin Ekeler (vs. MIN)
Najee Harris (vs. DET)
Dalvin Cook (@ LAC)
Tier 2
Ezekiel Elliott (vs. ATL)
Christian McCaffrey (@ ARI)
Aaron Jones (vs. SEA)
Tier 3
D’Ernest Johnson (@ NE)
Cordarrelle Patterson (@ DAL)
D’Andre Swift (@ PIT)
Leonard Fournette (@ WAS)
Tier 4
James Conner (vs. CAR)
Darrell Henderson (@ SF)
Mark Ingram (@ TEN)
Darrel Williams (@ LV)
Josh Jacobs (vs. KC)
Mark Ingram is a RB1/2 option this week with Alvin Kamara already ruled out. There’s very little depth behind Ingram, so I expect him to become a true workhorse back with 20+ touches.
It doesn’t hurt that Ingram is due for positive touchdown regression as he’s scored only one rushing touchdown this season despite having 3.4 expected rushing touchdown. That +2.4 difference leads the league and indicates to me that he is “due” for a score on the ground.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s return from the IR is imminent, which means Darrel Williams has maybe one to two games left of RB2 value until he becomes a high-upside bench stash.
If you aren’t desperate for a win and have plenty of other options at RB, I would try to send Williams to a manager who is desperate for a short-term solution at RB.
Tier 5
James Robinson (@ IND)
Elijah Mitchell (vs. LAR)
Myles Gaskin (vs. BAL)
Michael Carter (vs. BUF)
Javonte Williams (vs. PHI)
Elijah Mitchell was able to play through his rib injury last week, but was held to eight carries for 36 scoreless yards on the ground. However, he was able to chip in with a season-best 5/43/0 receiving line.
The lack of rushing volume was mainly due to the 49ers trailing for much of the game, but Mitchell’s underlying usage still profiles as a workhorse back. We’ll have to monitor Jeff Wilson, who returned from the IR last week, but saw zero touches despite being active.
Head coach Kyle Shanahan is known to go with the “hot hand” approach at RB, so while Mitchell’s job appears to be safe right now, we can never be 100% certain about any 49ers back.
Javonte Williams has settled in as an every-week high-end RB3/Flex option, and if you can pry him away at that price, I would do it. He is a Melvin Gordon injury from being a “league winner” and would rank as a low-end RB1 in that scenario.
The Broncos are on bye in Week 11, which might be the perfect time to float an offer for Williams, especially if the manager who has him rostered in your league needs a win and/or a RB replacement that week.
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Tier 6
Melvin Gordon (vs. PHI)
Antonio Gibson (vs. TB)
Zack Moss (@ NYJ)
Alex Collins (@ GB)
Rhamondre Stevenson (vs. CLE)
Brandon Bolden (vs. CLE)
J.D. McKissic (vs. TB)
Devonta Freeman (@ MIA)
Devin Singletary (@ NYJ)
Tony Pollard (vs. ATL)
Tier 7
Mike Davis (@ DAL)
A.J. Dillon (vs. SEA)
Nyheim Hines (vs. JAX)
Jeremy McNichols (vs. NO)
Tier 8
Kenyan Drake (vs. KC)
Adrian Peterson (vs. NO)
Jordan Howard (@ DEN)
Le’Veon Bell (@ MIA)
Boston Scott (@ DEN)
Sony Michel (@ SF)
Ty Johnson (vs. BUF)
Eno Benjamin (vs. CAR)
J.J. Taylor (vs. CLE)
Tier 9
Rashaad Penny (@ GB)
Salvon Ahmed (vs. BAL)
Ronald Jones II (@ WAS)
Kenneth Gainwell (@ DEN)
D’Onta Foreman (vs. NO)
Giovani Bernard (@ WAS)
Derrick Gore (@ LV)
Fantasy WR Rankings & Tiers
Tier 1
Cooper Kupp (@ SF)
Davante Adams (vs. SEA)
Tier 2
Tyreek Hill (@ LV)
Tier 3
A.J. Brown (vs. NO)
Justin Jefferson (@ LAC)
Stefon Diggs (@ NYJ)
D.K. Metcalf (@ GB)
Keenan Allen (vs. MIN)
CeeDee Lamb (vs. ATL)
Mike Evans (@ WAS)
Deebo Samuel (vs. LAR)
Chris Godwin (@ WAS)
A.J. Brown has been dominant over the past four weeks.
Take a look at his percent of the Titans’ air yards over that stretch, according to NextGenStats:
- Week 9: 36% (12th)
- Week 8: 45% (seventh)
- Week 7: 59% (third)
- Week 6: 50% (seventh)
With Derrick Henry out for the rest of the regular season, the Titans’ pass volume is surely to rise. If that ends up being the case, Brown has top-five upside the rest of the way.
Tier 4
Diontae Johnson (vs. DET)
Terry McLaurin (vs. TB)
Mike Williams (vs. MIN)
Tyler Lockett (@ GB)
Amari Cooper (vs. ATL)
Adam Thielen (@ LAC)
Marquise Brown (@ MIA)
Michael Pittman Jr. (vs. JAX)
There are plenty of theories why Mike Williams has cooled off over the past three games, but I would imagine it’s a mix of his knee not being 100% and Justin Herbert resorting back to his rookie habit of targeting Keenan Allen at will. It’s hard to blame Herbert, as Allen is one of the NFL’s best route runners and seems to always be open.
Either way, the big games for Williams are coming, but it’s clear that his weekly floor is lower than we would like. He’s a low-end WR2 for Week 10.
Tier 5
Jaylen Waddle (vs. BAL)
Jerry Jeudy (vs. PHI)
DeAndre Hopkins (vs. CAR)
Tier 6
Hunter Renfrow (vs. KC)
Jarvis Landry (@ NE)
D.J. Moore (@ ARI)
Emmanuel Sanders (@ NYJ)
Christian Kirk (vs. CAR)
Devonta Smith (@ DEN)
Van Jefferson (@ SF)
Russell Gage (@ DAL)
Cole Beasley (@ NYJ)
Courtland Sutton (vs. PHI)
Courtland Sutton has predictably seen his production drop off with Jerry Jeudy back in action, but note just how stark the drop-off has been:
- Sutton in games without Jeudy (6): 6.1 receptions, 88 yards, 0.3 TDs
- Sutton in games with Jeudy (3): 1.3 receptions, 21 yards, 0 TDs
With Noah Fant returning from the COVID list this week, it will be even tougher for Sutton to see enough targets to post WR2/3 value. He’s a boom/bust low-end WR3 who is still worth rolling with if you’re a heavy underdog who wants to tap into his upside.
Tier 7
Jakobi Meyers (vs. CLE)
Odell Beckham Jr. (@ SF)
Brandon Aiyuk (vs. LAR)
Marvin Jones (@ IND)
Jamison Crowder (vs. BUF)
Laviska Shenault (@ IND)
Rashod Bateman (@ MIA)
Corey Davis (vs. BUF)
A.J. Green (vs. CAR)
Odell Beckham’s signing was a crushing blow to Van Jefferson’s projected fantasy value as a rest-of-season low-end WR3. After head coach Sean McVay hinted that the Rams could run more 4-WR personnel, it also looked like Tyler Higbee’s mid-range TE1 value was in jeopardy.
However, Woods’ injury has re-shuffled every Rams’ fantasy football value yet again: Cooper Kupp is still a top-two WR, Beckham is looking like a low-end WR2 (with upside), Jefferson is back in the WR3 mix and Higbee remains a mid-range TE1.
OBJ’s Week 10 value will hinge on how much playing time he gets despite having only a couple days to learn the playbook. As of writing on Saturday, I have him penciled in as a low-end WR3 and Jefferson as a mid-range WR3. I will of course update my projections as we get more information, so check my real-time rankings.
With Corey Davis back in the mix, the Jets’ WR situation is difficult to parse out. To make matters worse, they face a Bills defense that currently ranks first in Football Outsiders’ DVOA against the pass. They’re all risky WR4 options, but Jamison Crowder has the highest floor of the group with Mike White back under center as Crowder benefits the most from White’s low aDot style of play.
Laviska Shenault is a sneaky WR4/Flex play this week. While the emergence of Jamal Agnew has been frustrating for Shenault managers, his underlying usage has been solid (83% routes run last game). And he’s been much more productive against zone coverage (2.22 yards per route run), so a matchup against the Colts — who play zone at the fifth-highest rate in the league — is a plus matchup for him.
He’s a sneaky bet for 5+ receptions and is a solid WR4 play this week.
Tier 8
Mecole Hardman (@ LV)
Michael Gallup (vs. ATL)
Zach Pascal (vs. JAX)
Rondale Moore (vs. CAR)
Deonte Harris (@ TEN)
Bryan Edwards (vs. KC)
Jamal Agnew (@ IND)
Elijah Moore (vs. BUF)
Tim Patrick (vs. PHI)
Kalif Raymond (@ PIT)
Marquez Callaway (@ TEN)
James Washington (vs. DET)
T.Y. Hilton (vs. JAX)
Michael Gallup is expected to return from the IR this week. It’s unclear if he’ll return to his full complement of snaps, though, or whether he’ll be limited.
Cedrick Wilson (questionable) practiced only once this week, and on a limited basis, due to a shoulder injury. If Wilson is unable to suit up, I would expect Gallup to return closer to a full-time role, making him a potential WR3 this week.
Gallup’s rank will be volatile leading up to kickoff.
Tier 9
Tre’Quan Smith (@ TEN)
Quez Watkins (@ DEN)
Sammy Watkins (@ MIA)
Donovan Peoples-Jones (@ NE)
Nelson Agholor (vs. CLE)
Kendrick Bourne (vs. CLE)
Tyler Johnson (@ WAS)
Amon-Ra St. Brown (@ PIT)
Tajae Sharpe (@ DAL)
K.J. Osborn (@ LAC)
Randall Cobb (vs. SEA)
Olamide Zaccheaus (@ DAL)
Chester Rogers (vs. NO)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (vs. SEA)
Freddie Swain (@ GB)
Robby Anderson (@ ARI)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (vs. NO)
Jalen Reagor (@ DEN)
Zay Jones (vs. KC)
Desean Jackson (vs. KC)
Fantasy TE Rankings & Tiers
Tier 1
Travis Kelce (@ LV)
Tier 2
Darren Waller (vs. KC)
Tier 3
Kyle Pitts (@ DAL)
Mark Andrews (@ MIA)
Kyle Pitts has cooled off over the past couple games, but he’s primed for a blow up game here. He’s thrived against man coverage (3.93 yards per route run) and the Cowboys play man at the fifth-highest rate in the NFL.
Pitts is a top-three TE in Week 10.
Tier 4
Dalton Schultz (vs. ATL)
George Kittle (vs. LAR)
T.J. Hockenson (@ PIT)
Tier 5
Dallas Goedert (@ DEN)
Tyler Higbee (@ SF)
Mike Gesicki (vs. BAL)
Tier 6
Dan Arnold (@ IND)
Zach Ertz (vs. CAR)
Noah Fant (vs. PHI)
Tyler Conklin (@ LAC)
Ricky Seals-Jones (vs. TB)
Dawson Knox (@ NYJ)
Pat Freiermuth (vs. DET)
Tier 7
Hunter Henry (vs. CLE)
Jared Cook (vs. MIN)
O.J. Howard (@ WAS)
Tier 8
Hayden Hurst (@ DAL)
Adam Trautman (@ TEN)
David Njoku (@ NE)
Mo Alie-Cox (vs. JAX)
Gerald Everett (@ GB)
Jonnu Smith (vs. CLE)
Cameron Brate (@ WAS)
Austin Hooper (@ NE)
Fantasy Kicker Rankings & Tiers
Tier 1
Tyler Bass (@ NYJ)
Lirim Hajrullahu (vs. ATL)
Ryan Succop (@ WAS)
Justin Tucker (@ MIA)
Michael Badgley (vs. JAX)
Harrison Butker (@ LV)
Dustin Hopkins (vs. MIN)
Matt Prater (vs. CAR)
Tier 2
Younghoe Koo (@ DAL)
Matt Gay (@ SF)
Brandon McManus (vs. PHI)
Daniel Carlson (vs. KC)
Mason Crosby (vs. SEA)
Chris Boswell (vs. DET)
Nick Folk (vs. CLE)
Tier 3
Greg Joseph (@ LAC)
Robbie Gould (vs. LAR)
Jason Myers (@ GB)
Jason Sanders (vs. BAL)
Joey Slye (vs. TB)
Randy Bullock (vs. NO)
Jake Elliott (@ DEN)
Tier 4
Matt Ammendola (vs. BUF)
Chase McLaughlin (@ NE)
Brian Johnson (@ TEN)
Matthew Wright (@ IND)
Zane Gonzalez (@ ARI)
Ryan Santoso (@ PIT)
Fantasy Defense Rankings & Tiers
Tier 1
Buffalo Bills (@ NYJ)
Tier 2
Arizona Cardinals (vs. CAR)
Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. DET)
Indianapolis Colts (vs. JAX)
Tier 3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@ WAS)
Baltimore Ravens (@ MIA)
Tennessee Titans (vs. NO)
New England Patriots (vs. CLE)
Los Angeles Rams (@ SF)
Dallas Cowboys (vs. ATL)
Tier 4
New Orleans Saints (@ TEN)
Denver Broncos (vs. PHI)
Cleveland Browns (@ NE)
Philadelphia Eagles (@ DEN)
Green Bay Packers (vs. SEA)
Tier 5
Kansas City Chiefs (@ LV)
Los Angeles Chargers (vs. MIN)
Carolina Panthers (@ ARI)
Detroit Lions (@ PIT)
Las Vegas Raiders (vs. KC)
San Francisco 49ers (vs. LAR)
Minnesota Vikings (@ LAC)
Miami Dolphins (vs. BAL)
Tier 6
Seattle Seahawks (@ GB)
Jacksonville Jaguars (@ IND)
Washington Football Team (vs. TB)
New York Jets (vs. BUF)
Atlanta Falcons (@ DAL)