mlb-odds-picks-home-run-parlay-8-11-2025

MLB Picks, Parlay for 8/11: Data-Fueled Home Run Predictions

Action PRO’s MLB player prop projections fueled a +1963 home run parlay winner on Saturday, so let’s run it back with some best bets for MLB Monday.

Tonight, our premium projections show strong outlooks for players in the Rockies vs. Cardinals and Rays vs. Athletics games.

Below, we’re covering two straight home run picks, as well as a +3062 parlay you can instantly click and tail.

Check out which hitters our projections like to hit a home run tonight at current odds.

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MLB Picks, Parlay for 8/11: Data-Fueled Home Run Predictions

Tonight, we’re taking PRO Projections top two hitters.

Our top home run pick for tonight’s Rockies vs. Cardinals game is Nolan Gorman. According to PRO Projections, Gorman has a 0.24 expected home run rate, giving him a strong value edge at his current price. The Rockies have allowed 173 home runs this season, the most in MLB, making Gorman an ideal candidate to launch one out of Busch Stadium.

Next up, Lawrence Butler of the Athletics stands out as the slate’s best bet. Batting in his home stadium, Sutter Health Park, Butler benefits from favorable conditions for power hitting. His PRO homers outlook is 0.22, reinforcing him as a top choice for home run betting tonight.

Combining both picks into a parlay offers an attractive +3062 payout at Fanatics.

+3062 MLB Parlay for Monday

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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.


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