The San Diego Padres host the Boston Red Sox on August 9, 2025. First pitch from PETCO Park is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NESN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Red Sox vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”My Red Sox vs Padres Prediction” center=”true” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/bos.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/boston-red-sox” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” link2=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/san-diego-padres” link2follow=”true”][/subheader]
- Red Sox vs Padres pick: Under 7.5 (-102)
My Red Sox vs Padres best bet is the Under with the best odds currently on BetMGM. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
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Red Sox vs Padres Odds
[gamematchup league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/bos.png” awayname=”Red Sox” awayslug=”boston-red-sox” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” homename=”Padres” homeslug=”san-diego-padres” date=”August 9, 2025″ time=”8:40 p.m. EDT” network=”NESN” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+1.5″ col1awayline=”-182″ col1hometext=”-1.5″ col1homeline=”+150″ col2awaytext=”7.5″ col2hometext=”7.5″ col2awayline=”-118o / -103u” col2homeline=”-118o / -103u” col3awaytext=”+117″ col3hometext=”-140″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”DraftKings” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/364880_Draftkings.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gamematchup]
Red Sox vs Padres Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Lucas Giolito (BOS) | Stat | RHP Michael King (SDP) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | W-L | 4-2 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.4 |
| 3.57 / 5.11 | ERA /xERA | 2.59 / 3.06 |
| 4.19 / 4.20 | FIP / xFIP | 3.23 / 3.64 |
| 1.19 | WHIP | 1.02 |
| 13.8% | K-BB% | 20.9% |
| 35.7% | GB% | 38.3% |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 100 | Location+ | 103 |
Red Sox vs Padres Prediction, Betting Analysis
This system targets unders in interleague (non-conference) games where both teams are winning clubs, and the market sets a modest total (7–10).
The setup leverages: Solid teams (49–100% win rate) facing unfamiliar lineups and pitchers. Later-season matchups (game 22+), when teams settle into pitching rhythms. Home teams favored (moneyline -260 to -110), suggesting stronger bullpens. Undervalued run suppression due to a lack of offensive familiarity.
The result: profitable unders in tighter, more disciplined matchups between quality teams with limited recent exposure to each other.
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Pick: Under 7.5 (-102, BetMGM)
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Red Sox vs Padres Betting Trends
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[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Red Sox vs Padres Weather” center=”false”][/subheader]
[gameforecast league=”mlb” gameid=”258855″ date=”20250809″][/gameforecast]