Week 1 of the NFL preseason concludes with a Sunday doubleheader: Dolphins vs. Bears at 1 p.m. ET and Saints vs. Chargers at 4:05 p.m. ET — both airing on NFL Network.
NFL odds for today’s first game list Chicago as a 3-point spread favorite against Miami and an over/under of 35.5, and it’s the line movement that has caught my eye for this matchup.
Tracking NFL odds from open to close can sometimes tell the story of how respected bettors are approaching a game.
But often, like Dolphins vs. Bears today, line histories reveal a completely different story.
Below, I explain exactly what I mean when it comes to line movement for Dolphins vs. Bears, including the sneaky NFL pick that professional bettors are making for this game.
NFL Odds, Sharpest Dolphins vs. Bears Pick
*Odds as of Sunday morning
To break down Dolphins vs. Bears, I’m leveraging two premium betting tools:
- Bet Labs’ NFL odds history
- Action PRO’s value signals
As mentioned above, the Bears are -3 against the Dolphins with an over/under of 35.5.
Interestingly, this total opened three points lower at 32.5, meaning the wiseguys are on the over, right?
Not so fast, my friend!
Yes, the total has increased since opening; however, sharps appear to be buying back the under instead.
Early betting pushed this number all the way up to 36.5, and that’s when big bettors struck.
Just 18% of tickets wagered on the total have hit the under thus far, though those tickets account for 36% of the money, providing a key piece of data regarding how heavy oddsmakers are with under action for Dolphins vs. Bears.
PRO Pick: Under 35.5 (-102) — DraftKings
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