mlb-picks-trends-august-7-2025

MLB Picks, Trends for August 7: Thursday’s Best Model Predictions

For Thursday’s MLB slate on August 7, the action’s light with just four games. Small card? No problem. Clear edges are popping using data-driven insights from PRO Systems.

PRO subscribers gain exclusive access to these advanced betting models to enable smarter, more confident picks. Our proprietary betting tools feature some neat, situational angles on two games for Thursday in particular.

The sharpest picks emerge in the White Sox vs. Mariners and Reds vs. Pirates matchups, where each game’s unique setups point to slick over/under predictions.

Let’s dive into the premium plays.


MLB Picks, Trends for August 7: Thursday’s Best Model Predictions

The first focus is on the White Sox at Mariners game, which starts during the day — a critical factor for the “Twilight Totals” system built out by our director of research, Evan Abrams. This pattern has been awesome, boasting a 60% win rate since we started tracking.

This model identifies overs in games starting late afternoon to early evening, a time window often overlooked by casual bettors. During these “twilight” hours, the temperature and lighting subtly shift in ways that tend to increase scoring.

Moreover, the White Sox and Mariners are each featuring starters with below-average WHIPs, indicating they may allow more baserunners and, consequently, more runs.

By isolating recent trends and considering the scoring-friendly environment created by the time of day, the model finds an edge before typical public betting volume sets in. The result is a strong lean toward the over in Thursday’s series finale, suggesting a high-expectation scoring environment at T-Mobile Park.

PRO System Pick: White Sox vs. Mariners Over

[betlabsembed systemid=”1479173″ systemname=”Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Twilight Totals” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Over%22%2C%22the%20game%20was%20played%20during%20the%202025%20or%202024%20season%22%2C%22the%20visitor%20team’s%20games%20have%20gone%20over%20the%20total%20between%2045%25%20and%2060%25%20of%20the%20time%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%20games%20have%20gone%20over%20the%20total%20between%2054%25%20and%2072%25%20of%20the%20time%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%20starting%20pitcher’s%20WHIP%20is%20between%200.83%20and%201.55%22%2C%22the%20game%20started%20between%2016%3A00%20and%2018%3A59%20ET%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$1,879″ record=”69-46-5″ winpct=”60%”][/betlabsembed]


Turning to the Reds vs. Pirates matchup, the spotlight here is on the under, largely driven by the “Wind Blowing In” model, which has cashed over 54% of the time across a significant sample size.

Notably, the game is at Pirates’ PNC Park, one of the toughest run-scoring venues in MLB this season (ranked sixth-worst for runs allowed). Paul Skenes gets the scheduled start opposite Brady Singer.

PRO System Pick: Reds vs. Pirates Under

_InlineAdBlock

Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.