For Friday, August 8, I’m on 3 MLB home run props: Manny Machado, Hunter Goodman and Max Muncy.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Friday.
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MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Friday, August 8
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 9:40 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”San Diego Padres” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” text=”Manny Machado Home Run (+430)”][/teammatchup] |
| 9:40 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Colorado Rockies” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png” text=”Hunter Goodman Home Run (+420)”][/teammatchup] |
| 10:10 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/lad.png” text=”Max Muncy Home Run (+333)”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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MLB Home Run Picks for August 8
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Manny Machado (+430)” subtext=”vs Red Sox (SP: RHP Walker Buehler)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Walker Buehler hasn’t been the same pitcher since coming back from injury and has been absolutely crushed by righty power, giving up over two HR/9 since the beginning of last season. San Diego isn’t a great hitter’s park, but given the matchup, these odds are way too high. I have the true odds on Manny Machado homering today at around +300, making this a great EV bet.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Hunter Goodman (+420)” subtext=”at Diamondbacks (SP: RHP Zac Gallen)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/col.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Hunter Goodman gets a matchup vs. Zac Gallen, who has historically been a good pitcher, but is having an off year. Gallen has been crushed by righty power this season, giving up a large 1.75 HR/9. Goodman is a good power bat and, given the matchup, I have the true odds around +350, making this a great EV bet.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Max Muncy (+333)” subtext=”vs Blue Jays (SP: RHP Max Scherzer)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/lad.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
After a slow start to the season, Max Muncy has been a great power bat when healthy. He gets a matchup vs. Max Scherzer, who is well past his prime and has been crushed by lefty power this season, giving up a massive 2.42 HR/9, to go along with a 56% fly ball rate. I have the true odds today on Muncy homering today at around +250, making this a great EV bet.
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