MLB action heats up this Saturday, and we’re diving into our exclusive PRO Projections to identify the top home run picks across three key matchups.
With games featuring the Royals vs. Blue Jays, Rangers vs. Mariners, and White Sox vs. Angels, the day’s baseball picks go off at 3:07 p.m. ET.
Our focus: delivering smart, data-driven picks that maximize value for bettors looking to capitalize on long ball potential. Today’s picks, when using the best odds, are priced +425, +500, and +525.
Here’s an in-depth analysis of all three home run predictions.
MLB Home Run Odds, Picks, Predictions for 8/2: Model Best Bets
PRO Projections represent a proprietary betting tool designed by our sharp, in-house team. By comparing player performance projections with current betting odds, we’re able to uncover where the market may be undervaluing certain players. This method highlights bets with a positive expected value, giving bettors a sharper edge.
These three players in particular were given extremely high grades for MLB Saturday.
Home Run Pick for Saturday: Vinnie Pasquantino
Our top home run selection of the day is Vinnie Pasquantino of the Royals, who’s priced at +525 at Bet365. Pasquantino already rewarded us earlier this week with a homer against the Braves, and our model projects a 0.26 home run rate for Saturday’s game, translating to a +6.3% value edge at those odds.
Home Run Pick for Saturday: Corey Seager
Next up, Corey Seager of the Rangers enters the spotlight at +425 with BetMGM. With a 0.27 homer projection from PRO and a +4.6% edge over market odds, Seager is a strong contender for a deep ball this weekend.
Home Run Pick for Saturday: Luis Robert
Rounding out our trio is White Sox slugger Luis Robert, available at +500 at FanDuel. Expected to hit 0.23 home runs according to PRO and carrying a +3.9% value edge, Robert stands out as the best bet to go yard in the White Sox vs. Angels matchup.
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high-grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.