The Fourth of July holiday has come and gone, and while it’s not exactly football season, it’ll be August before we know it.
The 2025 Hall of Fame Game between the Detroit Lions and Los Angeles Chargers takes place on July 31, meaning there are only two weeks until professional football is officially here.
As a result, I decided to leverage Action PRO’s cutting edge tools and betting software to get my head back into NFL odds for Week 1, including three picks that have quietly attracted action from professional bettors this summer.
NFL Odds, 3 Sharp Picks for Week 1
*Odds as of Thursday, July 17
Chiefs vs. Chargers Pick
Sept. 5 | 8 p.m. ET | YouTube
The 2025 NFL São Paulo game pits the Kansas City Chiefs against the Los Angeles Chargers in Brazil.
Kansas City is a 2.5-point spread favorite against Los Angeles with the over/under sitting at 45.5, and wiseguys are already taking a very interesting position on this matchup.
Here are the details.
This total initially hit the market at 44.5 before sharps steamed the over, driving it up to the current consensus of 45.5.
For those curious, steam refers to sudden, uniform line movement across the market and is often the result of bettors with the resources and respect to move odds getting down on the same wager at multiple sportsbooks, all at once.
PRO Pick: Over 45.5 (-105) — FanDuel
Raiders vs. Patriots Pick
Sept. 7 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS
On the other hand, we have Raiders vs. Patriots, which, unlike Chiefs vs. Chargers above, is landing smart money on the under.
After opening at 43.5, action from respected bettors has kicked this total down to 42.5, and even to 42 in some spots, which is noteworthy considering the importance of 43 in over/under betting.
PRO Pick: Under 42.5 (-110) — BetMGM
Lions vs. Packers Pick
Sept. 7 | 4:25 p.m. ET | CBS
The Lions could kick off their 2025-26 season as underdogs against the Packers thanks to NFL bettors.
Detroit first opened as a 1.5-point favorite against Green Bay, but steady Packers money has come in throughout the summer, flipping Jordan Love and Company from +1.5 to -1.5 at most sportsbooks, and even -2 at Caesars thus far.
PRO Pick: Packers -1.5 (-105) — ESPN BET
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