Check out my Judice vs Calliari prediction for UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19.
Judice is 1-1 in the UFC, while Calliari lost her UFC debut in January. Both are products of Dana White’s Contender Series.
Here’s my Judice vs Calliari pick for tonight.
Carli Judice vs Nicolle Calliari Odds
| Judice Odds |
-325 |
| Calliari Odds |
+260 |
| Over/Under |
2.5 Rounds (-238/ +180)
|
| Location |
Smoothie King Center | New Orleans |
| Bout Time |
6:15 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming |
ESPN+
|
| UFC 318 odds via DraftKings as of Friday night. Bet the UFC with our DraftKings promo code |
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Judice vs Calliari Pick
Carli Judice is a lengthy and dynamic striker with a significant size advantage over Nicolle Caliari (4″ taller, 6″ reach advantage), who prefers to grapple, making this a relatively binary fight in the women’s Flyweight division.
Moreover, Judice is coming off a spectacular first-round finish of Yuneisy Duben – extending her 100% first-round finish rate to four pro victories, and I’d anticipate that some bettors are targeting “Crispy” Carli to maintain that streak at plus money, whether in Round 1 or inside the distance.
Still, three-round women’s flyweight bouts go to decision at a 68% clip (-212 implied) on average, and both Judice and Caliari have shown the ability to compete well enough in both striking and grappling against their one common opponent (Ernesta Kareckaite) to fight to split decisions.
I projected this fight to go to decision at a higher rate than the women’s flyweight average, closer to 75% of the time (-285 implied), and would bet the distance or decision prop to -250.
Alternatively, or in addition, I projected Judice’s decision prop at -155, and would bet that up to -135.
Judice vs Calliari Predictions
- Fight Goes to Decision (-190, 0.25u) at FanDuel; bet to -250
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