The 39th edition of the MLB Home Run Derby takes place on Monday night at Truist Park in Atlanta, Ga. The big event before the Midsummer Classic will be broadcast on ESPN and ESPN 2 at 8 p.m. ET.
There are eight participants — Oneil Cruz, Matt Olson, Cal Raleigh, James Wood, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Junior Caminero, Byron Buxton, Brent Rooker — for the event, and I’ve found two sluggers with betting value to win.
Continue below to find my Home Run Derby winner predictions and picks.
[quickslipbasic bookname=”Fanatics” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/573837_FanaticsSportsbook20ALT.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/07/IMG_9782.jpg” buttontext=”Bet Oneil Cruz to Win the Derby!” buttonlink=”https://www.scoresandodds.com/all/parlay?quickslip=1&onelink=/5kut/p5cflq2e?sharedBy=QS_0105&ref=10001″][/quickslipbasic]
[quickslipbasic bookname=”Fanatics” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/573837_FanaticsSportsbook20ALT.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/07/img_1465_720.jpg” buttontext=”Bet Matt Olson to Win!” buttonlink=”https://www.scoresandodds.com/all/parlay?quickslip=1&onelink=/5kut/m5oopmb1?sharedBy=QS_0105&ref=10001″][/quickslipbasic]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Home Run Derby Predictions — Outright Winner” center=”true” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/pittsburgh-pirates” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” link2=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/atlanta-braves” link2follow=”true”][/subheader]
My Home Run Derby best bets are on Oneil Cruz and Matt Olson to win.
For more MLB Home Derby predictions, check out Sean Zerillo’s Derby preview, which includes breakdowns for each player and picks for: outright winner, league winner, the final four, finalists and more.
[relatedarticle articleimageurl=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/07/Derby.jpg” linktext=”2025 MLB Home Run Derby Predictions, Picks, Odds, Preview” link=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/2025-mlb-home-run-derby-predictions-picks-odds-preview-qs”][/relatedarticle]
Home Run Derby Winner Preview, Picks
[subheader sizedown=”true” center=”false” text=”Matt Olson to Win Derby (+950)” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/atl.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/atlanta-braves” link1follow=“false”][/subheader]
I love the value we are getting on Matt Olson, who will be playing in front of his hometown fans at the Atlanta Braves’ representative.
Truist Park will favor lefties tonight, which will bode well for Olson. The Braves’ masher has 17 home runs on the season and he ranks in the 94th percentile or better in Barrel %, hard-hit % and average exit velocity.
[subheader sizedown=”true” center=”false” text=”Oneil Cruz to Win Derby (+360)” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/new-york-yankees” link1follow=”false”][/subheader]
Similar to Olson, I love the left-handed-hitting Oneil Cruz.
In terms of exit velocity, there is no one better in the game than Cruz, who ranks first in average exit velocity at 96.3 mph.
Cruz can get hot quickly and make a run at winning tonight.
[procard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/736824_ActionPRO_promo_1500x844.jpg” cta=”Premium picks, tools & analysis” firstupsell=”Track & follow smart money” secondupsell=”Biggest player prop edges” thirdupsell=”Real-time expert pick alerts” buttontext=”SAVE 66% NOW!” buttonurl=”/pricing”][/procard]
_InlineAdBlock