The Chicago White Sox host the Cleveland Guardians on July 10, 2025. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on CLEG.
Find my MLB betting preview and Guardians vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
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- Guardians vs White Sox pick: Under 8.5
My Guardians vs White Sox best bet is Under 8.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
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Guardians vs White Sox Odds
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Guardians vs White Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| Logan Allen (CLE) | Stat | Jonathan Cannon (CWS) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | W-L | 3-7 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.5 |
| 4.07/4.46 | ERA /xERA | 4.50/4.86 |
| 4.44/4.70 | FIP / xFIP | 4.77/4.80 |
| 1.43 | WHIP | 1.46 |
| 8 | K-BB% | 9.4 |
| 44.6 | GB% | 38.9 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 96 | Location+ | 99 |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction, Betting Analysis
This MLB betting system uncovers hidden value on unders by targeting regular-season games played in elevated humidity (45% to 95%), moderate temperatures, and neutral wind conditions. While the public often assumes humidity leads to increased offense, certain environments consistently show the opposite—reduced scoring due to heavier air and sluggish ball flight.
The edge sharpens when the home team has gone under in recent games, with a five-game over rate below 40%, signaling a lack of offensive rhythm. Market movement confirms the lean, with totals quietly dropping from open to close, yet public interest in the under remains low—just 6% to 29% of bets.
This mismatch between smart money and public perception reveals overlooked under opportunities where weather and recent form quietly favor low scoring. Backed by subtle but consistent indicators, this strategy offers long-term betting value in MLB totals markets.
Pick: Under 8.5
Moneyline
There is no play on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no value on the run line.
Over/Under
Take the under in tonight’s Guardians vs. White Sox matchup.
Guardians vs White Sox Betting Trends
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