The Indiana Fever (11-10) and Connecticut Sun (3-18) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN.
The Fever are favored by -15.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 165.5 (-105o / -110u). The Fever are a -2000 favorite to win outright, while the Sun are +950 to pull off the upset.
Let’s get into my Fever vs. Sun prediction and WNBA picks.
Fever vs. Sun Odds, Pick
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- Fever vs. Sun Spread: Fever -15.5 (-110), Sun +15.5 (-110)
- Fever vs. Sun Over/Under: 165.5 (-105o / -110u)
- Fever vs. Sun Moneyline: Fever -2000, Sun +950
- Fever vs. Sun Best Bet: Back This Side Against the Spread
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The Fever are looking to win their third straight game as they hit the road to face a struggling Connecticut side. Meanwhile, the Sun recently snapped a 10-game skid with a win over the Storm, but have lost two straight since.
Connecticut is also in a tough spot here as it played each of its past two games on the West Coast — in Seattle and Los Angeles — and now travels back across the country to Connecticut. It’s a tough travel spot for the underdog, which we’ll discuss further below.
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This WNBA system isolates a specific travel fatigue angle and has found that teams that previously played in the Pacific timezone, but are now playing in the Eastern timezone often underperform against the spread, especially when the opponent’s prior game was already in the Eastern, Central or Mountain timezone.
In this case, the Sun played in Los Angeles on Sunday, while the Fever were at home against the Wings.
This creates a body clock mismatch and reduces prep time for the Sun, while giving the Fever the benefit of less disruption. The regular-season schedule amplifies this edge, as travel is often compressed and overlooked by bettors who focus on team quality rather than logistical advantages and disadvantages. The market tends to misprice these timezone transitions, presenting consistent value on the home side.
Overall, this system has produced a 24% ROI as it has cashed 64% of its picks (81-45-5). This season, it has gone 2-1 (67%) and produced a 29% ROI.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1479183″ systemname=”Evan Abrams – Beware of Travel” leaguename=”wnba” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20opponent’s%20previous%20game%20was%20played%20in%20the%20US%2FArizona%20or%20Central%20or%20Eastern%20timezone%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20in%20the%20Eastern%20timezone%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20previous%20game%20was%20played%20in%20the%20Pacific%20timezone%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$3,098″ record=”81-45-5″ winpct=”64%”][/betlabsembed]
Best Bet: Fever -15.5
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