Juventus (2-1-0) and Real Madrid (2-0-1) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.
Let’s get into my Juventus vs. Real Madrid prediction.
Real Madrid is favored at a -150 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-138o / +105u) goals.
Juventus vs. Real Madrid Odds
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Juventus vs. Real Madrid Betting Analysis
It’s the pick of the bunch in the round of 16 as Real Madrid face Juventus. It’s the first competitive meeting between these two clubs since the 2017-18 Champions League quarter-finals. There is plenty of intrigue for this match with a fixture against either Borussia Dortmund or Monterrey waiting in the quarter-finals.
A lot has changed for these two great clubs since that 2018 quarter-final. That was the last of a run of seven Champions League fixtures between the two clubs in the space of six seasons. Juve won a couple of those matches and made it to two finals, but couldn’t get their hands on the trophy.
They’ve been rebuilding ever since and have changed managers six times. Madrid is about to start its rebuild under Xabi Alonso after that long period of success.
This is the first big test for Alonso’s Madrid. The results so far have been promising. Dig a little deeper, and there are some troubling signs. Madrid has conceded an average of 16.7 shots per game at this Club World Cup. Only four teams have conceded more. Los Blancos have generated chances fairly well, averaging 1.84 xG per game. The problem is that they’ve conceded 1.57 xGA per match on average.
Juventus’ underlying stats aren’t much better, but we must take their fixtures into account. The Bianconeri were dominated by Manchester City, allowing the English side 3.92 xG and 24 shots. That perhaps shows where Igor Tudor’s side is in comparison to Europe’s elite. We’ll learn where Real Madrid is during this match.
Juventus vs. Real Madrid Prediction
Pick: Real Madrid To Win and Both Teams To Score – Yes
My Juventus vs. Real Madrid best bet is Real Madrid To Win and Both Teams To Score – Yes, with value on a close game going Los Blancos’ way.
Juventus vs. Real Madrid Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Real Madrid To Win and Both Teams To Score – Yes
Leg 2: Over 1.5 Shots For Federico Valverde
Leg 3: Over 2.5 Goals
Real Madrid’s win over Salzburg was encouraging, so they will fancy their chances against a Juventus side that was put to the sword by Manchester City. Xabi Alonso is aiming to bring his brand of football to the club, and it’s safe to say there have been some teething problems in his early matches.
Los Blancos’ only two defeats in their last 11 matches came against Barcelona. Over that period, Real have scored an average of 2.09 goals per game. They have continued to look dangerous with Alonso at the helm. Real have scored seven goals, creating nine big chances across the Club World Cup matches thus far.
Federico Valverde has started all three of Real’s games at the Club World Cup. The Uruguayan is incredibly versatile and has looked exceptional under Alonso. Therefore, we are backing him to have at least two shots as part of our Real Madrid vs Juventus predictions. Valverde has registered at least two shots in all three of Real’s group games. The midfielder has made eight attempts overall, accounting for 23.08% of Los Blancos’ shots at the competition thus far.
The Merengues appear to be hitting their stride after three matches in the Club World Cup. They have scored three goals in consecutive matches for the third time since March 29 and look set to continue this scoring streak, especially with Kylian Mbappé likely returning to the starting lineup. With a projected 56.3% chance of victory for Real Madrid, a low-scoring affair seems unlikely.
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Juventus vs. Real Madrid Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Juventus | Draw | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 21.9% | 21.8% | 56.3% |
Projected Total Goals
| Juventus | Total Goals | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | 2.70 | 1.72 |
Juventus vs. Real Madrid Projected Starting Lineups
Juventus
Di Gregorio; Kalulu, Gatti, Kelly; Alberto Costa, McKennie, Thuram, Cambiaso; Conceiçao, Kolo Muani, Yildiz.
Real Madrid
Courtois; Alexander-Arnold, Rudiger, Huijsen, Fran Garcia; Tchouameni; Arda Guler, Bellingham; Valverde, Gonzalo Garcia, Vinicius Jr.
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