minnesota twins vs. detroit tigers-prediction-pick-odds-saturday-june 28-casey-mize

Twins vs Tigers Prediction, Pick, Odds for Saturday, June 28

The Detroit Tigers host the Minnesota Twins on June 28, 2025. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MNNT.

The Tigers dropped the first game yesterday and will look to bounce back at home with Casey Mize on the mound. Bailey Oder will get the ball for the Twins.

Find our MLB betting preview and Twins vs Tigers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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  • Twins vs Tigers picks: Under 8.5 (-110, BetMGM)

Our Twins vs Tigers best bet is on Game Totals with the best pick on Under 8.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.

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Twins vs Tigers Odds

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Twins vs Tigers Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Bailey Ober (MIN) Stat RHP Casey Mize (DET)
4-5 W-L 7-2
0.7 fWAR (FanGraphs) 1.0
4.90/4.18 ERA /xERA 2.88/3.28
4.90/4.79 FIP / xFIP 3.85/3.90
1.37 WHIP 1.24
12.7% K-BB% 15.3%
29.2% GB% 40.8%
98 Stuff+ 97
107 Location+ 103

Twins vs Tigers Preview

Casey Mize has been a steady performer for the Tigers throughout the season and should be again today against a Twins offense that ranks 14th in the majors with 102 wRC+ and 22nd in average with .242.

Mize has not allowed more than two earned runs in any start this month and has not issued any walks in his last two starts.

He should be the most significant contributor to our under recommendation from Bet Labs with the Silent Sharp Unders system.

The risk comes from the opposing pitcher, Bailey Oder, who has been atrocious in June with four terrible starts in a row, and should bounce back at some point.

Another important component is the stadium. Comerica Park ranks 22nd in Baseball Savant’s Park Factors in run production in MLB.

Yesterday, the first game of this series produced only five runs, and we’re banking on a repeat.


Twins vs Tigers Prediction, Betting Analysis

[betlabsembed systemid=”1479171″ systemname=”Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Silent Sharp Unders” leaguename=”mlb” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20temperature%20is%20between%2034%20and%2087%20degrees%22%2C%22the%20visiting%20team’s%205%20Game%20recent%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2040%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%205%20Game%20recent%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2040%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20closing%20total%20is%20between%207.5%20and%2010%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%20game%20number%20is%20between%206%20and%20162%22%2C%22the%20visitor%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2046%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20home%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%2046%25%20and%20100%25%22%2C%22the%20o%2Fu%20change%20from%20open%20to%20close%20is%20between%20-1%20and%200%22%2C%22the%20over%2Funder%20%25%20is%20between%201%25%20and%2029%25%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$20.921″ record=”1227-970-87″ winpct=”56%”][/betlabsembed]

The Silent Sharp Unders system targets regular-season MLB games where both teams are performing well, yet the total has quietly dropped from open to close.

These are games featuring competent, winning teams with recent success, stable weather conditions, and closing totals in a common scoring range.

Despite both teams showing strength, the market subtly favors the under—likely due to matchup specifics, pitching, or pace factors.

By following this soft signal—when the public eye is more focused on win streaks and not totals—this system finds value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.

Pick: Under 8.5 (-110, BetMGM)


Twins vs Tigers Betting Trends

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[gameforecast league=”mlb” gameid=”257249″ date=”20250628″][/gameforecast]


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