Action PRO Systems pinged two situational picks for Saturday’s MLB slate, led by a 67%-winning betting model.
Below, we’re covering premium best bets for Mets vs. Pirates and Phillies vs. Braves.
These picks come from two proprietary betting systems, active on both moneyline and over/under picks for the 6/28 slate. PRO subscribers gain exclusive access to PRO Systems, and the green light to build all kinds of trends across a variety of sports in Bet Labs.
On Saturday, the Mets are road favorites against the Pirates, with a total of 9. The Braves, meanwhile, are laying chalk at home vs. the Phillies, with an over/under tabbed at 8.5 runs.
Check out situational PRO picks for both games across Saturday’s 6/28 MLB odds slate.
MLB Odds, Picks: Computer Model Predictions for 6/28
Saturday’s model predictions begin at 4:05 p.m. ET when the Mets meet the Pirates for the second game of the set.
The first pick courtesy of Action PRO data is the Mets moneyline over the Pirates. New York fits the 67%-winning PRO System known as “Sticky Spot Sweepers.”
This model targets confident road favorites playing early games in conference play—typically the first or second matchup.
It focuses on teams whose Pythagorean win percentage falls between 55% and 69%, indicating sustainable performance quality.
Crucially, the system factors in environmental conditions, specifically high average humidity ranging from 70% to 100%. Such sticky summer conditions tend to suppress offensive volatility, rewarding disciplined teams road-tested in familiar conference settings.
The market often undervalues these scenarios, mistakenly assuming travel or situational shifts cause instability. However, sharp road teams generally excel under these pressures, making the Mets a strong pick in this early series spot.
PRO System Pick: Mets Moneyline
The second recommendation is betting under 8.5 total runs in the Phillies vs. Braves game.
This pick is driven by a 57%-winning system focusing on matchups featuring high-strikeout starting pitchers—in this case, Spencer Schwellenbach for the Braves and Jesus Luzardo for the Phillies.
The system targets games where the pitchers’ strikeout rates exceed 23% at home and 27% on the road. High strikeout rates mean fewer balls are put in play, reducing run-scoring chances and increasing the likelihood of lower-scoring games. This model thrives in regular season contests when the total’s between 8-10.
PRO System Pick: Phillies vs. Braves Under
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