Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, June 19

The Tampa Bay Rays host the Baltimore Orioles on June 19, 2025. First pitch from George M. Steinbrenner Field is scheduled for 7:35 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSSUN.

Read our Orioles vs Rays prediction and MLB pick below.

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• Orioles vs Rays Picks: Orioles ML (+115, BetMGM)

My Orioles vs Rays best bet is on Baltimore’s ML. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.

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Orioles vs Rays Odds

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Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Betting Analysis

One of our Bet Labs betting systems — powered by Evan Abrams — popped up for this game.

Small Contrarian Dogs vs. Winning Teams targets underdogs between +100 and +165 that are receiving less than 30% of the moneyline handle against an opponent with a winning record. It has been highly profitable historically, generating an 8.6% return on investment (ROI) since 2005.

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I’m terrified of backing Charlie Morton and the Orioles, but I don’t believe they’re as bad as their record indicates. After going 18-34 in April and May, they’re 10-6 this month, behind a +15 run differential. The lineup is finally healthy and looking dangerous, posting 118 wRC+ over the past fortnight.

Meanwhile, I think the Rays’ offense is bound to regress eventually, as they’ve been white-hot over the past month, posting an MLB-leading 133 wRC+.

I also think Tampa’s starting pitcher, Drew Rasmussen, is due for regression (2.55 ERA, 3.55 xERA), as he’s running a super-low BABIP (.241) and super-high strand rate (84.1%).

Tampa ranks first in reliever xFIP over the past month (3.24), but Baltimore ranks second (3.50). The Rays used Pete Fairbanks, Garrett Cleavinger and Edwin Uceta during Wednesday’s game, so I wonder if any of them will be unavailable.

On the whole, I’m willing to take a contrarian stab at the O’s in Tampa on Thursday.

Pick: Orioles ML (+115, BetMGM)

Moneyline

Bet the Orioles on the moneyline tonight.

Run Line (Spread)

There is no play on the run line.

Over/Under

There is no play on the total.

Orioles vs Rays Betting Trends

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