NBA Finals Best Bets, Picks, Predictions for Thursday, June 19

The Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder will square off in Game 6 of the NBA Finals on Thursday night, with tipoff set for 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

Our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest odds and identified 5 NBA picks for tonight’s contest. Continue below for our NBA best bets and predictions for Thursday, June 19.

NBA Finals Best Bets, Picks, Predictions: Thursday, June 19

[quickslipbasic bookname=”Fanatics” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/573837_FanaticsSportsbook20ALT.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/06/IMG_6071.jpg” buttontext=”Add Our NBA Best Bets to Your Bet Slip Instantly!” buttonlink=”https://www.scoresandodds.com/all/parlay?quickslip=1&onelink=/5kut/9mnl7slf?sharedBy=QS_0105&ref=10001″][/quickslipbasic]

Game	Time (ET)	Pick
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]	8:30 p.m.	Bennedict Mathurin 15+ Points
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]	8:30 p.m.	T.J. McConnell Over 0.5 3PM
[teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]	8:30 p.m.	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 1+ Steals / 1+ Blocks
[teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]	8:30 p.m.	Pascal Siakam Over 21.5 Points
[teammatchup link=”#5″ firstfullname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]	8:30 p.m.	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 Assists
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Thunder vs. Pacers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Bennedict Mathurin 15+ Points (+235)” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” awayname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” awayslug=”oklahoma-city-thunder” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png” homename=”Indiana Pacers” homeslug=”indiana-pacers” date=”Thursday, June 19″ time=”8:30 p.m. ET” network=”ABC” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]

By Joe Dellera

Haliburton’s status is in the air tonight, and one player the Pacers can lean on as a scorer is Mathurin.

He’s capable of creating his own shot while not being a total dud on defense.

He’s scored 5, 14, 27, 8, and 7 points this series, but he is just coming off a 2/11 game from the field.

While he’s getting a bit more defensive attention, he’s someone that can score in a hurry when he’s hot.

I don’t want the median outcome for Mathurin whose points prop is at 10.5, I want the higher variance play here in a Win-or-Cancun game for the Pacers.

Pick: Bennedict Mathurin 15+ Points (+235)

[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#5″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]

[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Thunder vs. Pacers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”T.J. McConnell Over 0.5 Three-Pointers Made (+230)” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” awayname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” awayslug=”oklahoma-city-thunder” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png” homename=”Indiana Pacers” homeslug=”indiana-pacers” date=”Thursday, June 19″ time=”8:30 p.m. ET” network=”ABC” bookname=”bet365″ bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gameheader]

By Michael Fiddle

This cap is two-fold.

The simple first component is T.J. McConnell is playing high-level, high-confidence basketball and providing a huge spark to the Indiana Pacers offense.

He has knocked down a three-pointer in three of five games in this series. He is being given this shot, and he is taking and making them.

The second component is the Haliburton injury. Hali is clearly hobbled, and while I think he ultimately does play, he will not be 100% and probably sees a minutes reduction throughout the game.

Carlisle will go to McConnell with confidence, and he should see an uptick is three-point volume.

If Haliburton is out altogether, we wont know until closer to tipoff, and it would cause this bet to be more than cut in half.

Ladder the McConnell threes too: Over 0.5 (+230), Over 1.5 (+1300), Over 2.5 (+3000).

This is a rare moment I would dabble in one direction derivative over markets.

Pick: T.J. McConnell Over 0.5 Three-Pointers Made (+230)

_InlineAdBlock

[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Thunder vs. Pacers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 0.5 Steals / Over 0.5 Blocks (-125)” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” awayname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” awayslug=”oklahoma-city-thunder” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png” homename=”Indiana Pacers” homeslug=”indiana-pacers” date=”Thursday, June 19″ time=”8:30 p.m. ET” network=”ABC” bookname=”Fanatics Sportsbook” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/542724_Fanatics-banner-logo.png” bookreviewslug=”fanatics-sportsbook”][/gameheader]

By Alex Hinton

Despite the 40-point outburst from Jalen Williams in Game 5, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is still the heavy favorite to be named Finals MVP should the Thunder close this series out.

Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.4 points, 4.6 rebounds, and five assists per game in the NBA Finals. However, statistically, he has been a factor defensively as well.

Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 2.4 steals and 1.8 blocks per game in this series.

Gilgeous-Alexander has had a block in four of the five games and a steal in four games in this series as well. He has had one each in the same game in three of the five games.

That includes the last two games when he had a block and three steals in Game 4 and four blocks and two steals in Game 5.

Taking him to get one block and steal each gives us playable odds as a combo at -125. If the trend continues, SGA will cash this for the third consecutive game.

Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 0.5 Steals / Over 0.5 Blocks (-125)

[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Thunder vs. Pacers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Pascal Siakam Over 21.5 points (-110)” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” awayname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” awayslug=”oklahoma-city-thunder” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png” homename=”Indiana Pacers” homeslug=”indiana-pacers” date=”Thursday, June 19″ time=”8:30 p.m. ET” network=”ABC” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]

By Bryan Fonseca

This should be Tyrese Haliburton proof.

I played this at over 20.5 points, and I’m good with it at over 21.5, especially at plus-money.

Siakam is the only guy on Indy who can consistently drive, get his own shot, and is a matchup problem, even for this elite OKC defense.

He has shot at least six free throws in every game, at least 14 field goal attempts in all but one game — 15 in three — and has jacked up six three-pointers in each of his last two.

If Haliburton is hurt, or even out, this number will jump. And if Haliburton plays, Indiana has no shot without Siakam getting his.

So, the burden will largely be put on Siakam to continue to be a force in transition, create his shot from the perimeter, attack the basket, or just take the open threes when presented the opportunity.

Pick: Pascal Siakam Over 21.5 points (-110)

[anchor name=”5″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Thunder vs. Pacers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 Assists (-118)” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” awayname=”Oklahoma City Thunder” awayslug=”oklahoma-city-thunder” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png” homename=”Indiana Pacers” homeslug=”indiana-pacers” date=”Thursday, June 19″ time=”8:30 p.m. ET” network=”ABC” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Charlie Wright

This seems like a good sell-high spot after SGA spiked a 10-assist performance in Game 5. He did it on just 28 passes, which speaks to the Pacers’ efforts to keep the ball out of his hands.

The underlying passing numbers aren’t there, so I’ll bet against another hyper-efficient outing.

SGA is averaging 5 assists on 11.2 potential assists and 32.4 passes in this series. He came into this round averaging 6.9 assists on 15.3 potential assists and 46 passes in the postseason.

SGA’s touch numbers are also down. He averaged 76.3 touches per game in the first three rounds, but he’s down to 66 per game in the Finals. Jalen Williams actually leads the team in touches this series.

The Pacers have excelled at limiting assists all season. They allowed the 8th-fewest assists per game and the 3rd-lowest assisted field goal rate in the regular season.

The Pacers have allowed just 20.4 assists per game in the postseason, and they’ve held OKC to a ridiculous 17.8 assists per game in the Finals.

For context, Orlando allowed the fewest assists per game in the regular season at 22.6. It’s especially impressive considering the pace these games have been played at so far (99.5).

The Pacers’ defense gets the added benefit of playing at home for Game 6. SGA has just 4 assists across the 2 games in Indiana this series.

Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 Assists (-118)

[procard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/736824_ActionPRO_promo_1500x844.jpg” cta=”Premium picks, tools & analysis” firstupsell=”Track & follow smart money” secondupsell=”Biggest player prop edges” thirdupsell=”Real-time expert pick alerts” buttontext=”SAVE 66% NOW!” buttonurl=”/pricing”][/procard]