Esperance (0-0-1) and Los Angeles FC (0-0-1) will face off today at 6:00 p.m. EDT at Geodis Park in Nashville, Tennessee.
LAFC is favored at a -118 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (+115o / -152u) goals.
Let’s get into my ES Tunis vs. LAFC prediction.
ES Tunis vs. LAFC Prediction
Pick: A Moneyline Play
My ES Tunis vs. LAFC best bet is a play on the moneyline.
ES Tunis vs. LAFC Odds
[gamematchup league=”club_worldcup” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/100×100/196232-1.png” awayname=”ES Tunis” awayslug=”-” homelogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/100×100/181030-0.png” homename=”LAFC” homeslug=”-” date=”Friday, June 20, 2025″ time=”6:00 p.m. EDT” network=”-” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+0.5″ col1awayline=”-110″ col1hometext=”-0.5″ col1homeline= “-130″ col2awaytext=”2.5″ col2hometext=”2.5″ col2awayline=”+115o / -152u” col2homeline=”+115o / -152u” col3awaytext=”+350″ col3hometext=”-118″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”bet365″ bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/860991_Bet365ALT.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gamematchup]
ES Tunis vs. LAFC Betting Analysis
This match creates an interesting new position for LAFC, who start the game as favorites. On the other side, Espérance de Tunis knows this is their best opportunity to stay alive in this competition. The Tunisians didn’t show much in the first round, as they were beaten in all relevant parameters, including xG, shots on goal, and possession.
With just two shots on goal in the first game against Flamengo, the Red and Yellow managed only 0.24 xG. Four of their six shots came from outside the box, which resulted in a low xG. They are third in such attempts after the first round, sitting behind Dortmund and Auckland, who are at 100% as their only shot came outside the box.
If the Smiling One wants to keep their chances alive, they will have to do better on both ends of the pitch. They are third in fouls, as well as third in cards received. Their inexperience playing against stronger opponents is evident, as they have a more rough approach to stopping players.
The Black and Gold Falcons are the clear favorites, with BETSiE giving them around 67.3% of winning. Tunis will have to play at their best, and even then, it’s a question of whether they can secure any points here, as their chances stand at 15.7%.
ES Tunis vs. LAFC Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Los Angeles FC to Win
Leg 2: Over 2.25 Goals
Leg 3: Denis Bouanga to Score
Both teams are chasing their first goals and points of the tournament. LAFC lost 2-0 to Chelsea, while Tunis were beaten 2-0 by Flamengo. The MLS side will need to tap into their MLS goalscoring form to leave MD2 with three points.
Steve Churundolo’s side came into this tournament in strong domestic form, unbeaten in nine while scoring at least two goals in all nine. The Gold and Black have been dominant domestically, winning three major trophies in seven years, as well as finishing runners-up in the 2023 Concacaf Champions League. In the 2-0 loss to Chelsea, they were brave in possession and should cause issues against weaker opposition on Friday.
BETSiE projects a goal output of 3.27 when Los Angeles FC (2.27xG) takes on Espérance de Tunis (1.01xG). However, the bookmakers are hesitant to get anywhere near BETSiE’s projection, with an Asian Goal line set at 2.25.
The fact that both teams were unable to score on MD1 will have influenced pricing. However, in the MLS, LAFC has averaged 3.31 goals per 90 minutes after 16 games this season. How about the domestic goal tally of their MD2 opponents? 57 goals in 30 games.
Denis Bouanga showed his quality against Chelsea despite his team’s 2-0 loss. Facing one of Europe’s top defences, Bouanga found ways to threaten. He forced Robert Sanchez into action and provided a constant outlet in transition. His movement off the ball and ability to create shooting angles in tight spaces suggest he could be the difference-maker when given more time and space.
_InlineAdBlock
ES Tunis vs. LAFC Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
ES Tunis | Draw | LAFC |
---|---|---|
15.7% | 17% | 67.3% |
Projected Total Goals
ES Tunis | Total Goals | LAFC |
---|---|---|
1.01 | 3.28 | 2.27 |
ES Tunis vs. LAFC Projected Starting Lineups
Los Angeles FC
Lloris; Palencia, Long, Segura, Hollingshead; Jesus, Tillman, Delgado; Martinez, Ordaz, Bouanga.
Espérance de Tunis
Ben Said; Ben Ali, Meriah, Tougai, Ben Hamida; Guenichi, Ogbelu; Yan Sasse, Jebali, Belaili; Rodrigo Rodrigues
[procard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/736824_ActionPRO_promo_1500x844.jpg” cta=”Premium picks, tools & analysis” firstupsell=”Track & follow smart money” secondupsell=”Biggest player prop edges” thirdupsell=”Real-time expert pick alerts” buttontext=”SAVE 66% NOW!” buttonurl=”/pricing”][/procard]