We have have a total of three player props for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Pacers and Thunder tonight. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, with the game broadcasting live on ABC.
Continue below for my NBA Finals player props for Monday, June 16.
NBA Finals Player Props for Monday, June 16
- Alex Caruso Points
- Pascal Siakam Rebounds
- T.J. McConnell Points + Assists
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When Oklahoma City traded for Alex Caruso, it knew it would be acquiring one of the league’s best perimeter defenders.
However, Caruso also has sparked the team offensively as well. In the Thunder’s two wins so far in this series, Caruso has scored 20 points. He shot 7-for-9 from the field in Game 4.
Caruso also cleared this line in Game 1 with 11 points. He scored 11 points in six of his last 10 home playoff games while averaging 11.6 points in that span.
That makes sense considering role players typically play better at home.
Caruso’s minutes are up in this series because head coach Mark Daigneault has went smaller to match the Pacers’ lineups.
As a result, Caruso has averaged 29.3 minutes per game in this series while shooting 54.5% from the field.
If he gets close to 30 minutes again, I like his chances of scoring 11 points.
Pick: Alex Caruso Over 10.5 Points (-120, Fanatics)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Pascal Siakam Rebounds” subtext=”Pacers vs. Thunder, 8:30 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/indiana-pacers” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Through the first four games in this series, Pascal Siakam is the second-leading rebounder only behind Chet Holmgren. He is leading the Pacers with 7.8 rebounds per game.
Holmgren has had seven rebounds in nine of his last 11 games against the Thunder, averaging 9.7 per game in that span. He also narrowly missed with six rebounds in Game 2.
When you look at the Pacers’ rebounding numbers, it is interesting to note that Siakam, Myles Turner, and Aaron Nesmith are all averaging over 11 rebound chances per game in the series.
Nesmith is averaging 6.8 rebounds per game as well, but Turner is averaging just 4.3 rebounds per game.
Turner has been guarding Chet Holmgren, which has pulled him away from the basket, but Siakam and Nesmith have been more efficient at collecting their opportunities.
Siakam has also spent some time at center in this series as the Pacers have gone smaller. That has also contributed Siakam averaging 12.8 rebound chances per game in this series.
If he gets 12 or 13 again, he will pull down at least seven rebounds.
Pick: Pascal Siakam Over 6.5 Rebounds (-140, DraftKings)
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T.J. McConnell has been a spark plug for the Pacers all postseason. He is averaging 8.6 points and four assists in 16.4 minutes per game in the playoffs.
McConnell has cleared this line in seven of his last 10 games, finished with nine and 10 points and assists combined in two of the misses. However, the hit rate has been even higher against Oklahoma City.
McConnell has recorded 11 PA in nine of his last 10 games against the Thunder. In that span, he is averaging 11.5 points and 5.1 assists per game.
In these Finals, he is averaging 9.5 points and 4.3 assists per game.
McConnell may not get 20 minutes tonight. However, when he enters the game, he is a blur helping the Pacers keep their pace with Tyrese Haliburton on the bench.
The Pacers have been at their best when their bench has dominated other units in the playoffs.
McConnell has been a major factor in that and if that continues tonight, he will record 11 PA once again.
Pick: T.J. McConnell Over 10.5 Points + Assists (-130, Fanatics)
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