Real Madrid and Al Hilal will face off today at 3:00 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.
Let’s get into my Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal prediction.
Real Madrid is favored at a -300 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (-115o / +170u) goals.
Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal Prediction
Pick: Over 3.25 Total Goals
My Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal best bet is on the game total going over 3.25 total goals in the Group H opening match.
Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal Club World Cup Odds
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Al Hilal vs. Real Madrid Picks, Parlay
- Over 3.25 Total Goals (-105)
- Kylian Mbappé to Score & Over 1.5 Shots on Target (-125)
- Real Madrid to Win & Both Teams to Score (+162)
As Trent Alexander-Arnold comes into the team amidst an array of fresh ideas from Xabi Alonso, this might be the makings of something special brewing in Madrid. With a 3.03 goal projection on this match, it’s safe to say that many expect the Spaniards to create more than a few chances in front of goal against Al Hilal. Mbappé stands as one of the players who profited the most from Trent’s arrival and the exquisite delivery the former Liverpool full-back brings.
Without Trent, in 2024/25, Mbappé mustered the second-highest shots per 90 minutes (4.71) total from the top five European leagues. Only Ousmane Dembele for PSG (4.99) registered more. If those season-long trends continue, Mbappe is in for a haul of goals in the US this summer. The 2.32 shots on target per 90 hit rate from Mbappé was also second-best behind the PSG striker.
In terms of goal output, the Frenchman didn’t shy away from the upper echelons of the Golden Boot race in Spain. No one in Europe’s top five divisions registered more goals than the 31 scored by Mbappé in La Liga. Only Robert Lewandowski (27.1xG) generated a more significant expected goals total than Real Madrid’s leading striker (25.9xG). If Mbappé arrives intent on becoming the tournament’s top goalscorer, not too many people would be shocked if it came to fruition.
Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Al Hilal | Draw | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | 10.5% | 82.5% |
Projected Total Goals
| Al Hilal | Total Goals | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | 3.85 | 3.03 |
Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal Betting Analysis
Real Madrid is the competition favorite, and the club will be eager to impress with Xabi Alonso in his new role on the Madrid bench. Kylian Mbappé, Vinicius Jr, Rodrygo, Arda Guler and Jude Bellingham are all fit and ready to go. The club has several defensive absentees, which should aid the selection. Rudiger, Carvajal, Alaba, Militao, Mendy and Camavinga won’t feature on this Club World Cup debut.
Al Hilal scored 95 goals in 34 Saudi Professional League games in 2024/25. It’s a talented squad with many familiar names. Aleksandar Mitrovic will lead the attack. Marcos Leonardo, a highly-rated young Brazilian, scored 17 goals in 24 appearances. It’s a free hit for them in the opener, and you can expect them to cause the makeshift Real Madrid defence problems.
Mbappé has scored in each of his previous eight matches and arrives in top form. The Frenchman will provide a threat throughout the competition. In addition, Vinicius Jr’s pace and trickery are frightening. Al Hilal won’t be used to this level of opponent. La Liga matches involving the Spanish giants averaged over three goals per game last term.
Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal Projected Starting Lineups
Al Hilal
Bouno; Cancelo, Al-Bulaihi, Koulibaly, Lod; Neves, Kanno, Milinkovic-Savic; Malcom, Leonardo, Al-Dawsari.
Real Madrid
Courtois; Asencio, Huijsen, Rüdiger; Alexander-Arnold, Valverde, Bellingham, Fran Garcia; Rodrygo, Mbappé, Vinícius Jr
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