The Los Angeles Dodgers (41-29) host the San Francisco Giants (41-29) on Saturday, June 14, 2025. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
The Giants topped the Dodgers in the series opener at Chavez Ravine to tie for first place in the NL West. Who will take the division lead on Saturday night with Landen Roupp taking on Clayton Kershaw?
Find my Giants vs Dodgers prediction for Saturday below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends and more.
Giants vs Dodgers Predictions, Odds, Spread, Over/Under
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Giants vs Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Landen Roupp (SF) | Stat | LHP Clayton Kershaw (LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 3.29/3.51 | ERA /xERA | 4.35/4.67 |
| 3.47/3.79 | FIP / xFIP | 4.19/4.40 |
| 1.36 | WHIP | 1.36 |
| 13.1% | K-BB% | 6.6% |
| 47.8% | GB% | 47.8% |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 108 | Location+ | 92 |
Giants vs Dodgers Preview, Prediction
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Landen Roupp may not have been the pitcher who Giants fans were clamoring for in the starting rotation to begin the season, but he’s turned in a pretty impressive campaign to this point. The right-hander has allowed his fair share of baserunners, but enters Saturday’s outing with a 3.29 ERA, which has been backed by plenty of friendly contact on the ground.
With San Francisco’s infield defense shining this month, ranking top five in Outs Above Average to represent a second straight month of improvement, the task at hand has become even easier for this right-hander, who has pitched to an extremely low 31.1% hard-hit rate and solid .245 Expected Batting Average.
As a strike-thrower, you’d be a bit worried that a guy like Roupp would struggle with allowing damage, but he’s now posted a .373 Expected Slugging through two abbreviated seasons. While his walk rate is an unassuming 8.1% it represents an improvement over last year’s 12% clip. He’s now issued two in five straight starts, but he’s also been able to find a bit more strikeouts and hasn’t allowed a home run in any of those outings.
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It’s been a struggle for Clayton Kershaw to regain his previous form thus far in 2025, but his last outing against the St. Louis Cardinals was by far the best he’s looked through five turns in the rotation.
The veteran left-hander allowed just a run on six hits across five frames, striking out seven along the way and completing his first start of the year without issuing a walk. That’s certainly a welcome sight, given his walk rate stood in double digits prior to that outing, and the strikeouts were similarly nice to see, given he fell off significantly in that area last year — albeit in a small sample — and has yet to recover.
Kershaw’s whiff rate was up to a season-high 32.4% against St. Louis — a strong mark — though his hard-hit rate remained high. Still, with a park upgrade, his xBA came in at .226 in that start next to a neat .306 xSLG. It’s really all we can look to as a beacon for hope, and it remains to be seen how the big lefty will fare in his hitter-friendly home park against a team that has hit the ball well all year.
Speaking of offense, it’s worth noting that the Dodgers have cooled off a bit in the last two weeks, hitting .255 with a pedestrian .170 ISO for their standards. The walk rate is down under 9%, which is a particular concern, though it’s not as if L.A. is striking out more to compound those issues. Still, this team is running a .297 BABIP, so it’s not as if this is easily chalked up to bad luck.
Giants vs Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis
We saw a high-scoring affair in Friday’s game, which delivered a win on the Over. With the Dodgers’ incredible .866 OPS against ground-ball pitchers, which leads the league, I’m inclined to believe in their offense yet again here.
Not only should conditions improve on contact, but the Dodgers should also find a way to exploit Roupp’s inability to limit walks. Their performance in that area has been down, yes, but the larger sample of the season is telling—and it’s also not as if their walk rate has been poor over the last two weeks.
I’m also not going to drastically change my stance on Kershaw after just one start, against a Cardinals offense that has been one of the worst in baseball over the last month. San Francisco can hit for power — particularly away from home — and is walking in a stunning 10.8% of plate appearances in the last two weeks, which should put the onus on the lefty to throw more strikes — something he’s had issues with in 2025.
There should be plenty of runs scored for a second straight game in this series.
Pick: Over 9 (-114)
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Giants vs Dodgers Betting Trends
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