Baseball fans are being treated to another full day of games as there are 15 contests on the calendar for Wednesday, July 11.
There are also several days games, which is always a treat, but with eight games starting before 5:00 p.m. ET, we have no time to waste. Our MLB betting experts have already looked over today’s MLB odds and identified the best value on the board, so let’s get right into their MLB picks and predictions.
Our MLB best bets are below.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today’s slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” secondfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png”][/teammatchup] | 1:05 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” secondfullname=”San Diego Padres” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png”][/teammatchup] | 4:10 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Baltimore Orioles” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/bal.png”][/teammatchup] | 6:35 p.m. | |
|
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
|
||
[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bet Labs’ Cubs vs Phillies Best Bet: Fade Both Offenses”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Under 8.5 (+100)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” awayname=”Chicago Cubs” awayslug=”chicago-cubs” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png” homename=”Philadelphia Phillies” homeslug=”philadelphia-phillies” date=”Wednesday, July 11″ time=”1:05 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]
By Bet Labs
Our “Unders with Soft Starters and Neutral Winds” system has generated a 15% ROI lifetime with a 465-312-38 (60%) record. This season, it is 19-5-1 (79%) and has produced a stunning 50% ROI.
This system targets unders in regular-season MLB games in which softer home starting pitchers (pitchers with low strikeout rates and moderate WHIPs) are on the mound in games three or four of a series. By this point in the series, hitters have seen multiple arms and scouting reports are sharper, yet scoring remains muted when the matchup lacks overpowering velocity and winds remain neutral.
The setup avoids exaggerated run environments by filtering out strong directional wind influence, which keeps offensive surges in check. With the home team in the middle of the season grind and winning at a modest clip, the market may overlook how often these quiet conditions lead to slower-paced, low-scoring outcomes.
Pick: Under 8.5 (+100)
[quickslipbasic bookname=”BetMGM” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/06/Screenshot-2025-06-11-at-7.24.00%E2%80%AFAM.png” buttontext=”Parlay These Picks Instantly!” buttonlink=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v2/deeplink?deeplinkId[0]=ML1621847551&deeplinkId[1]=ML1621864351&deeplinkId[2]=ML1622364529&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” secondfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” secondfullname=”San Diego Padres” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Baltimore Orioles” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/bal.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bet Labs’ Dodgers vs Padres Best Bet: Runs May Be Limited”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Under 9.5 (+105)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” awayname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” awayslug=”los-angeles-dodgers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png” homename=”San Diego Padres” homeslug=”san-diego-padres” date=”Wednesday, July 11″ time=”4:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”Caesars Sportsbook” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/256064_caesars_800x200.png” bookreviewslug=”caesars-sportsbook”][/gameheader]
By Bet Labs
This system triggers in matchups when both teams have solid win percentages (above 51%) and the public is heavily favoring the over (≤35% under bets). In matchups between winning teams, sportsbooks often inflate totals due to perceived offensive capability. However, these teams also tend to have stronger pitching and tighter late-game execution, which leads to a profitable edge on the under.
This system has generated a 3% ROI this season (99-83-2) and a 4% ROI lifetime (1784-1552-149).
Pick: Under 9.5 (+105)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” secondfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” secondfullname=”San Diego Padres” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Baltimore Orioles” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/bal.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Charlie Wright’s Tigers vs Orioles Best Bet: Back These Starters Early”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”First 5 Innings Under 5.5 (-140)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” awayname=”Detroit Tigers” awayslug=”detroit-tigers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/bal.png” homename=”Baltimore Orioles” homeslug=”baltimore-orioles” date=”Wednesday, July 11″ time=”6:35 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]
This seems like a big number for two middling offenses and a pair of solid pitchers. I’d expect any 5.5 lines to be gone once we get to game time.
We backed Zach Eflin last time out. A late Cal Raleigh homer forced a push on the first five innings total, but Eflin was solid. He tossed his second straight quality start and racked up a season-high seven strikeouts. He’s bounced back after a rocky stretch when he first came off the IL.
Casey Mize has had some inefficient outings recently, but he’s still keeping runs off the board. Mize has allowed two or fewer earned runs in seven of his 10 starts this season and has maintained a sub-3.00 ERA all season. Mize’s fastball is down a tick, but the splitter and slurve have been legit swing-and-miss pitches.
Detroit has faded on offense after a solid start. The Tigers are 20th in OPS and 21st in wOBA against right-handed pitching since the start of May. Baltimore has been slightly better, ranking 16th in both metrics over that stretch. However, they’ve disappointed on offense for much of the season.
Pick: First 5 Innings Under 5.5 (-140)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” secondfullname=”Philadelphia Phillies” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-philadelphia-phillies.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Dodgers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-los-angeles-dodgers.png” secondfullname=”San Diego Padres” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/sd.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Detroit Tigers” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” secondfullname=”Baltimore Orioles” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/bal.png”][/teammatchup] |
_InlineAdBlock
[procard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/736824_ActionPRO_promo_1500x844.jpg” cta=”Premium picks, tools & analysis” firstupsell=”Track & follow smart money” secondupsell=”Biggest player prop edges” thirdupsell=”Real-time expert pick alerts” buttontext=”SAVE 66% NOW!” buttonurl=”/pricing”][/procard]