We have a total of three player props for Wednesday night, as I’ll be focusing on a trio of key players who could be in line for noteworthy performances in Game 3 of the NBA Finals between the Thunder and Pacers tonight.
Continue below for my NBA Finals player props for Wednesday, June 11.
NBA Player Props for Wednesday, June 11
- Ben Sheppard Points + Rebounds + Assists
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points + Assists
- Chet Holmgren Rebounds
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Ben Sheppard Points + Rebounds + Assists” subtext=”Thunder vs. Pacers, 8:30 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/indiana-pacers” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
After registering fewer points (34) in Game 2 compared to Game 1 (39), the Pacers should expect a bit more from their bench as the series shifts to Indiana.
We’ve seen this Pacers bench perform at a high level throughout the postseason, averaging 35.6 points, which improves to 38.3 points when they’re at home.
As a result, Indiana’s bench players are an intriguing option when surveying the prop market.
One role player who particularly stands out is Pacers shooting guard Ben Sheppard. Sheppard has a points + rebounds + assists prop of just 4.5, which he has cleared in five straight home games.
If we examine his overall performance over his last 10 games, he has also exceeded this projection 70% of the time.
Sheppard just missed covering this number in Game 2 in Oklahoma City, as he finished with three points and one rebound. However, we expect him to be back on track in front of a jubilant Indiana crowd on Wednesday night.
It’s worth noting that against OKC, Sheppard has also cleared this line five of their last six head-to-head meetings.
The historical numbers are clearly in his favor for this situational spot, and while Sheppard might not be a marquee name in this series, he does offer significant value as a candidate who can outperform his player prop projection.
Pick: Ben Sheppard Over 4.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125, Fanatics)
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points + Assists” subtext=”Thunder vs. Pacers, 8:30 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/oklahoma-city-thunder” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Oklahoma City’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put together back-to-back 30-point performances in the NBA Finals.
While it’s clear that he’s performed at an MVP level the entire year, his scoring is slightly down in the playoffs (30.4) compared to what we saw during the regular season (32.7) despite playing more minutes (36.7 vs. 34.2).
Moreover, his shooting percentage from the floor has dropped from 51.9% to 47.4%, and his perimeter shooting has decreased from 37.5% to 31.1%.
Nonetheless, the bookmakers continue to price his props like we’re still in the regular season.
Gilgeous-Alexander has a points + assists prop of 42.5 — a number he has cleared only twice in his last 14 games. Against the Pacers, he has covered this line just once in their last five head-to-head meetings.
Opposing teams have done a better job of slowing down the Thunder guard in the playoffs, and I expect the Pacers fans to make things particularly uncomfortable for Gilgeous-Alexander on the road.
It’s been 25 years since the Pacers last appeared in the NBA Finals, and that homecourt edge adds even more value to this prop staying under the number.
Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 41.5 Points + Assists (-115, BetMGM)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Chet Holmgren Rebounds” subtext=”Thunder vs. Pacers, 8:30 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/okc.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/oklahoma-city-thunder” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Another Thunder player I’m looking to fade is OKC’s center Chet Holmgren.
Holmgren has a rebounding prop of 8.5, but I’m not sure he’s as effective on the boards if the Thunder continue to deploy him as part of a smaller starting lineup that’s without Isaiah Hartenstein in the frontcourt.
Holmgren is averaging just six rebounds in this series and has posted seven or fewer rebounds in seven straight games. He has also stayed under this prop line in his last three meetings against the Pacers.
Indiana out-rebounded OKC 56-39 in Game 1, and while I don’t expect a similar gap in Game 3, the Pacers have enough depth within their squad to put up a good fight on the glass.
Although we’ll have to swallow some juice with Holmgren’s odds price at -140, Oklahoma’s tactical change involving the starting lineup suggests this prop deserves some strong consideration.
Pick: Chet Holmgren Under 8.5 Rebounds (-140, bet365)
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