The Los Angeles Dodgers host the New York Mets on June 4, 2025. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
The Mets and Dodgers are currently priced as the betting favorites to win the NL pennant, and the first two games of this four-game series between NL contenders haven’t disappointed, with each team earning one win in extra innings.
The Dodgers are a fairly heavy favorite in the third game of the series, as Griffin Canning (3.23 ERA, 53 IP) will take on Tony Gonsolin (5.23 ERA, 31 IP).
Find my MLB betting preview and Mets vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”My Mets vs Dodgers Prediction” center=”true” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/new-york-mets” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ladd.png” link2=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/los-angeles-dodgers” link2follow=”true”][/subheader]
- Mets vs Dodgers picks: Both Teams to Score Four or More Runs +120 (bet365, Play to +110)
My Mets vs Dodgers best bet is both teams to score four or more runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
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Mets vs Dodgers Odds
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Mets vs Dodgers Moneyline: Mets +124; Dodgers -148
Mets vs Dodgers Spread: Mets +1.5 (-162); Dodgers -1.5 (+136)
Mets vs Dodgers Totals: 10 (O -105/ U -115)
Mets vs Dodgers Best Bet: Both Teams to Score 4 or More Runs (+120)
Mets vs Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Griffin Canning (NYM) | Stat | RHP Tony Gonsolin (LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | W-L | 3-1 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.2 |
| 3.23/4.18 | ERA /xERA | 5.23/5.37 |
| 4.07/3.82 | FIP / xFIP | 6.01/4.46 |
| 1.40 | WHIP | 1.45 |
| 10.9% | K-BB% | 12.6% |
| 52.6% | GB% | 36.9% |
| 92 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 100 | Location+ | 93 |
Nick Martin’s Mets vs Dodgers Preview
[subheader sizedown=”true” center=”false” text=”New York Mets Betting Preview: Canning Seeking Improvement Against Dodgers” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/new-york-mets” link1follow=”false”][/subheader]
Canning will face the Dodgers for the second time in three starts in this matchup after struggling with his command through a rainy outing on May 23, a start that was eventually cut short by a rain delay.
Canning walked four batters across only 2 2/3 innings of work while allowing three earned runs.
After finishing the 2024 season with a 5.19 ERA across 171 2/3 innings of work, Canning got off to a surprisingly dominant start to the season and looked to be a savvy pickup from the Mets front office.
Canning has started to trend towards mediocre starts recently, though, as evidenced by his ERA of 4.09 and xFIP of 4.15 over his last five outings. He’s been hard-hit 49% of the time in those outings while allowing a xBA of .249 and posting a K-BB% of just 8.2.
Pitch metrics have also been low on Canning recently, as he holds a Stuff+ rating of 93 and a Pitching+ rating of 90.
The Mets faced off against Gonsolin in the previous series between these sides at Citi Field. They were able to do some damage against him, earning four runs in Gonsolin’s five innings of work. They generated a 56% hard-hit rate versus Gonsolin in the previous matchup and held an xBA of .336.
New York ranks seventh in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching this season, seventh in BB/K ratio and 10th in hard-hit rate. They’ll be without Mark Vientos and Jesse Winker in this matchup, who have both slugged better than .400 versus righties this season.
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[subheader sizedown=”true” center=”false” text=”Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: L.A. Looking to Keep Gains at Home” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/ladd.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/los-angeles-dodgers” link1follow=“false”][/subheader]
After finishing the 2024 campaign with a 4.98 ERA and 5.89 xERA across 103 innings of work, Gonsolin has remained a well below league average starter in 2025.
He holds an xERA of 5.37, a WHIP of 1.45 and a K-BB% of 12.6. He holds a Pitching+ rating of 87, which correlates with the amount of hard contact he’s allowed this season.
The Dodgers currently have zero position players on the injured list and provide Canning with arguably the toughest matchup in baseball. They rank second in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching this season and rank first in wRC+ versus righties dating back to the start of last season.
Los Angeles has also been drastically more productive at home this season, as it holds a wRC+ of 146, compared to a mark of 106 on the road.
While it’s debatable whether that’s a trend worth putting much stock into, the Dodgers also hit to a wRC+ of 123 at home last season, compared to a mark of 114 on the road.
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis
Both of these starters have been in shaky form of late and could struggle to find much success in this matchup.
Canning does appear to be legitimately improved compared to last season, but this should prove to be a very tough spot for him as he takes on the Dodgers’ high-powered offense for the second time in two weeks.
After finishing the 2024 campaign with an ugly 4.98 ERA and 5.89 xERA, there doesn’t appear to be much reason to believe that Gonsolin will fare any better this season.
The Mets hit him very well when these teams met late in May at Citi Field, and it seems likely that we’ll see a comparable result in Wednesday’s matchup.
Betting the game to go over a high total of 10 runs presents value, but at +120, I see more value in backing both sides to score at least four runs in a matchup where it looks quite likely that both teams will have strong offensive days.
Pick: Both Teams to Score Four Runs +120 (bet365, Play to +110)
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Moneyline
At their current price of +125, my lean would be with the Mets, as Canning does still appear to offer somewhat of an edge over Gonsolin.
Run Line (Spread)
There’s no bet that I see value in making regarding the run line.
Over/Under
Even with the total set at 10, there still appears to be some value in backing the game to go over. Both offenses have been dominant versus right-handed pitching this season, and both starters could be poised for blow-ups in this matchup.
The forecast also calls for slight winds blowing out to center field, which is noteworthy given the amount of hard contact these starters are allowing.
Mets vs Dodgers Betting Trends
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[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Mets vs Dodgers Weather” center=”false”][/subheader]
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