The Dallas Wings (1-6) and Seattle Storm (3-4) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9:30 p.m. EDT at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Wash. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN.
Let’s get into my Wings vs. Storm prediction and WNBA picks.
The Storm are favored by -10.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 166 (-110o / -110u). The Storm are a -520 favorite to win outright, while the Wings are +390 to pull off the upset.
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Wings vs. Storm Odds, Pick
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- Wings vs. Storm Spread: Storm -10.5 (-110 ), Wings +10.5 (-110)
- Wings vs. Storm Over/Under: 166 (-110o / -110u)
- Wings vs. Storm Moneyline: Wings +390, Storm -520
- Wings vs. Storm Best Bet: Storm -10.5
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The Storm are looking to snap a three-game skid as they host the Wings, who are coming off back-to-back losses to the Sky.
If the Storm are to get back in the win column, they’ll likely need a big performance from Skylar Diggins, who leads the team with 17.9 points and 6.6 assists per game. However, Diggins scored just 11 points in Sunday’s loss to the Aces.
On the other side, rookie Paige Bueckers (14.7 points per game) gets plenty of attention, but Seattle will also need to slow down Dallas’ Arike Ogunbowale, who is averaging 17.3 points per game.
Despite Seattle’s recent skid, the Storm are favored in this matchup and Bet Labs believes that’s the right play. There’s a system favoring the Storm that suggests a play on Seattle in tonight’s matchup, so let’s dive into that system and get the theory behind tonight’s WNBA pick.
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This system — “Mid-Range Favorites off a Loss” — targets WNBA favorites, in the regular season, with a spread between -9.5 and -6 in games in which the closing total is between 145 and 165.
By focusing on teams coming off a loss by a narrow to significant margin, the system filters for bounce-back opportunities where talent and market pressure align. It aims to exploit situations where elite teams are undervalued due to recent underperformance, yet remain in control within fast-paced, competitive environments.
Overall, this system has a 26% ROI and is 41-21-1 (66%).
Best Bet: Storm -10.5
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